What Is Concentra Group Holdings Parent (CON) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Concentra Group Holdings Parent's intrinsic value is estimated at $20.23. Trading at its current price of $30.90, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -34.5%. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $35.91 (+16.2%), versus EROIC at $2.95 (-90.5%). This +106.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About CON?
12 of 13 models are currently active for CON. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CON's intrinsic value at $9.30, implying -69.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CON Rank in Services-Specialty Outpatient Facilities, NEC?
Among 1 Services-Specialty Outpatient Facilities, NEC stocks, CON ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places CON in the top tier.
Concentra Group Holdings Parent operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is CON a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for CON. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Concentra Group Holdings Parent. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Concentra Group Holdings Parent scores 8.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +106.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CON valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CON's 12 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →