Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading (BRSL) Fair Value 2026

BRSL · Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading (BRSL) trades at $10.73, approximately 340% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.44. QOC: 2.8/10. 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BRSL
Price
$10.73
Quality Score
2.8/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +216.2% upside with 28% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.8/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading (BRSL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading (BRSL) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $19.97, 86.0% above the current price of $10.73. Estimates range from $2.29 to $34.75. BRSL scores 2.8/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.73)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$2.44 -77.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$23.84 +122.1%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$33.94 +216.2%
EROIC Spread
High Conviction
$5.45 -49.3%

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What Is Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading (BRSL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading 's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $19.49. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $10.74 (implied upside of +81.6%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 6 of 10 bullish models. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +223.7% (fair value: $34.75), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -78.6% ($2.29). The spread between these extremes — +302.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About BRSL?

10 of 13 models are currently active for BRSL. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BRSL's intrinsic value at $2.44, implying -77.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BRSL Rank in Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation?

Among 22 Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation stocks, BRSL ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.8 signals below-average fundamentals.

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BRSL a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for BRSL. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading . Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading is rated at 2.8/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +302.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BRSL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BRSL's 10 active models, average confidence is 18%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: MSGE · SGHC · PRKS · DIS · PRSU

Frequently Asked Questions About Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading

What is Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading 's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading (BRSL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.44. The Quality of Company score is 2.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BRSL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.73, 6 of 10 active models suggest BRSL may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $19.97, 86.0% above the current price of $10.73 — a consensus view that BRSL is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading 's business model in Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.8 mean for BRSL?

Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading 's QOC of 2.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BRSL?

CirclFi analyzes BRSL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BRSL a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for BRSL at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Brightstar Lottery PLC Trading (BRSL) has a median fair value of $19.97 — 86.0% above the current price of $10.73 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BRSL/ · Methodology

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