The Descartes Systems Group Inc (DSGX) Fair Value 2026

DSGX · Services-Prepackaged Software ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, The Descartes Systems Group Inc (DSGX) trades at $71.33, approximately 126% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $31.62. QOC: 2.7/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DSGX
Price
$71.33
Quality Score
2.7/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +18.0% upside with 33% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.7/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is The Descartes Systems Group Inc (DSGX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, The Descartes Systems Group Inc (DSGX) appears overvalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $46.45, 34.9% below the current price of $71.33. Estimates range from $9.49 to $84.18. DSGX scores 2.7/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy The Descartes Systems Group Inc Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($71.33)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$31.62 -55.7%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$23.25 -67.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$46.45 -34.9%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$84.18 +18.0%

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What Is The Descartes Systems Group Inc (DSGX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Descartes Systems Group Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at $43.82. Trading at its current price of $71.33, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -38.6%. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +18.0% (fair value: $84.18), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -86.7% ($9.49). The spread between these extremes — +104.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About DSGX?

13 of 13 models are currently active for DSGX. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DSGX's intrinsic value at $31.62, implying -55.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DSGX Rank in Services-Prepackaged Software?

Among 205 Services-Prepackaged Software stocks, DSGX ranks #182 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.7 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks →

The Descartes Systems Group Inc's positioning within the Services-Prepackaged Software segment means that customer acquisition cost (CAC) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including AI/ML integration — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is DSGX a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for DSGX. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for The Descartes Systems Group Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, The Descartes Systems Group Inc earns a quality score of 2.7/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +104.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DSGX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DSGX's 13 active models, average confidence is 27%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy The Descartes Systems Group Inc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Prepackaged Software stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CRM · CVLT · EGAN · MANH · MSFT

See all Services-Prepackaged Software stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About The Descartes Systems Group Inc

What is The Descartes Systems Group Inc's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, The Descartes Systems Group Inc (DSGX) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $31.62. The Quality of Company score is 2.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DSGX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $71.33, 1 of 13 active models suggest DSGX may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $46.45, 34.9% below the current price of $71.33 — a consensus view that DSGX is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits The Descartes Systems Group Inc's business model in Services-Prepackaged Software.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.7 mean for DSGX?

The Descartes Systems Group Inc's QOC of 2.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DSGX?

CirclFi analyzes DSGX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is DSGX a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for DSGX at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, The Descartes Systems Group Inc (DSGX) has a median fair value of $46.45 — 34.9% below the current price of $71.33 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/DSGX/ · Methodology

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