American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC) Fair Value 2026

ABTC · Capital Markets ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (53/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC) trades at $7.69. QOC: 5.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 53/100 (WARN). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ABTC
Price
$7.69
Quality Score
5.3/10
Value Trap Risk
53/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 53 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ABTC?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.69)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Low Conviction
 $1.24 -83.9%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, American Bitcoin Corp's intrinsic value is estimated at $1.24. Trading at its current price of $7.69, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 1 of 1 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -83.9%.

What Do the Models Say About ABTC?

1 of 13 models are currently active for ABTC. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ABTC Rank in Capital Markets?

Among 103 Capital Markets stocks, ABTC ranks #64 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Capital Markets Stocks →

American Bitcoin Corp's positioning within the Capital Markets segment means that deposit growth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including digital banking adoption — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ABTC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ABTC a score of 53/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for American Bitcoin Corp. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, American Bitcoin Corp earns a quality score of 5.3/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ABTC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ABTC's 1 active models, average confidence is 17%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy American Bitcoin Corp Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Capital Markets Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Capital Markets stocks with 13-model coverage

BTCSBTCS Inc.QOC 5.5PMAXPowell Max LimitedQOC 5.3CNCKCoincheck Group N.V.QOC 5.5BTBTBit Digital, Inc.QOC 5.3PLUTPlutus Financial Group LimitedQOC 5.6AUCATIF Holdings LimitedQOC 5.2HWKEHawkeye Systems, Inc.QOC 3.7PJTPJT Partners Inc.QOC 8.2ABITAthena Bitcoin GlobalQOC 6.5FUTUFutu Holdings LimitedQOC 9.8HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: BTCS · PMAX · CNCK · BTBT · PLUT · AUC · HWKE · PJT · ABIT · FUTU · HOOD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ABTC?

7 companies across all industries closest to ABTC’s Quality of Company score of 5.3/10.

APLMApollomics, Inc.QOC 5.3CFNBCalifornia First Leasing CorporationQOC 5.3SCZMSantacruz Silver Mining Ltd.QOC 5.3CITRCitroTech Inc.QOC 5.3RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.QOC 5.4NBTXNanobiotix S.A.QOC 5.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: APLM · CFNB · SCZM · CITR · RIVN · NBTX · NVDA

Where Does ABTC Sit in CirclFi's Capital Markets Rankings?

ABTC is ranked against every other Capital Markets stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Capital Markets stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About American Bitcoin Corp’s Valuation?

What is American Bitcoin Corp's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC). The Quality of Company score is 5.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ABTC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.69, 0 of 1 active models suggest ABTC may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits American Bitcoin Corp's business model in Capital Markets.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.3 mean for ABTC?

American Bitcoin Corp's QOC of 5.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ABTC?

CirclFi analyzes ABTC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ABTC a value trap in 2026?

American Bitcoin Corp's Value Trap score is 53/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns American Bitcoin Corp (ABTC) a Quality of Company score of 5.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ABTC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ABTC valuation
  • Financial statements: American Bitcoin Corp 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001755953) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ABTC as of ; valuations recomputed .