Yatra Online, Inc. (YTRA) Fair Value 2026

YTRA · Transportation Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (41/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Yatra Online, Inc. (YTRA) trades at $0.90, approximately 603% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.13. QOC: 4.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 41/100 (WARN). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
YTRA
Price
$0.90
Quality Score
4.8/10
Value Trap Risk
41/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +115.7% upside with 20% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 41 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Yatra Online, Inc. (YTRA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Yatra Online, Inc. (YTRA) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $0.50, 44.8% below the current price of $0.90. Estimates range from $0.03 to $1.94. YTRA scores 4.8/10 on fundamental quality and 41/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Yatra Online, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.90)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.13 -85.8%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$1.94 +115.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$0.71 -20.8%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$0.35 -60.6%

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What Is Yatra Online, Inc. (YTRA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Yatra Online, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $0.66. Trading at $0.90, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -26.7%), as 7 of 11 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: EPV targets $1.94 (+115.7%), versus Regime Cross at $0.03 (-96.2%). This +211.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About YTRA?

11 of 13 models are currently active for YTRA. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates YTRA's intrinsic value at $0.13, implying -85.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does YTRA Rank in Transportation Services?

Among 18 Transportation Services stocks, YTRA ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Transportation Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to transportation company businesses. For Yatra Online, Inc., metrics like inventory days supply provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is YTRA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns YTRA a score of 41/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Yatra Online, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Yatra Online, Inc. scores 4.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +211.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every YTRA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across YTRA's 11 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Yatra Online, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Transportation Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Transportation Services stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: EXPE · TOUR · BWLP · VRRM · GATX

Frequently Asked Questions About Yatra Online, Inc.

What is Yatra Online, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Yatra Online, Inc. (YTRA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.13. The Quality of Company score is 4.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is YTRA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.90, 4 of 11 active models suggest YTRA may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $0.50, 44.8% below the current price of $0.90 — a consensus view that YTRA is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Yatra Online, Inc.'s business model in Transportation Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.8 mean for YTRA?

Yatra Online, Inc.'s QOC of 4.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on YTRA?

CirclFi analyzes YTRA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is YTRA a value trap in 2026?

Yatra Online, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 41/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Yatra Online, Inc. (YTRA) has a median fair value of $0.50 — 44.8% below the current price of $0.90 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/YTRA/ · Methodology

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