Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR) Fair Value 2026

VMAR · Recreational Vehicles ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (33/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR) trades at $7.51, versus a $19.01 median fair value across its 2 active models — 153.1% above the current price. QOC: 5.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 33/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
VMAR
Price
$7.51
Quality Score
5.5/10
Value Trap Risk
33/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +237.5% upside with 26% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $19.01, 153.1% above the current price of $7.51. Estimates range from $12.67 to $25.35. VMAR scores 5.5/10 on fundamental quality and 33/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. VMAR’s +153.1% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Vision Marine Technologies Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give VMAR?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.51)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $12.67 +68.8%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $25.35 +237.5%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Vision Marine Technologies Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $19.01. At a current market price of $7.51, 2 of 2 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +153.1%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +237.5% (fair value: $25.35), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at +68.8% ($12.67). The spread between these extremes — +168.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About VMAR?

2 of 13 models are currently active for VMAR. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for VMAR is $19.01 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VMAR Rank in Recreational Vehicles?

Among 17 Recreational Vehicles stocks, VMAR ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Vision Marine Technologies Inc.'s positioning within the Recreational Vehicles segment means that units delivered plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including software-defined vehicle revenue — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is VMAR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VMAR a score of 33/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Vision Marine Technologies Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Vision Marine Technologies Inc. earns a quality score of 5.5/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +168.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VMAR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VMAR's 2 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Vision Marine Technologies Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Recreational Vehicles Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Recreational Vehicles stocks with 13-model coverage

VEEETwin Vee Powercats Co.QOC 5.5VIVCVivic Corp.QOC 5.4PIIPolaris Inc.QOC 6.8MCOMMicromobility.com Inc.QOC 4.5MAMOMassimo GroupQOC 7.2KNDIKandi Technologies Group, Inc.QOC 2.8EZGOEZGO Technologies Ltd.QOC 2.3LCIILCI IndustriesQOC 8.0BCBrunswick CorporationQOC 7.3HOGHarley-Davidson, Inc.QOC 8.8MCFTMasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.2

Read investment analysis: VEEE · VIVC · PII · MCOM · MAMO · KNDI · EZGO · LCII · BC · HOG · MCFT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to VMAR?

7 companies across all industries closest to VMAR’s Quality of Company score of 5.5/10.

SRRKScholar Rock Holding CorporationQOC 5.5FCBMFirst Carolina Financial Services, Inc.QOC 5.5AISPAirship AI Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.5VZLAVizsla Silver Corp.QOC 5.5MYNDMynd.ai, Inc.QOC 5.5HPPHudson Pacific Properties, Inc.QOC 5.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SRRK · FCBM · AISP · VZLA · MYND · HPP · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Vision Marine Technologies Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Vision Marine Technologies Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR)'s intrinsic value at $19.01 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $12.67 to $25.35. The Quality of Company score is 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VMAR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.51, 2 of 2 active models suggest VMAR may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $19.01, 153.1% above the current price of $7.51 — a consensus view that VMAR is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Vision Marine Technologies Inc.'s business model in Recreational Vehicles.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.5 mean for VMAR?

Vision Marine Technologies Inc.'s QOC of 5.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VMAR?

CirclFi analyzes VMAR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is VMAR a value trap in 2026?

Vision Marine Technologies Inc.'s Value Trap score is 33/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR) has a median fair value of $19.01 — 153.1% above the current price of $7.51 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VMAR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this VMAR valuation
  • Financial statements: Vision Marine Technologies Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001813783) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for VMAR as of ; valuations recomputed .