Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) Fair Value 2026

EMPD · Auto Manufacturers ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) trades at $2.98, versus a $2.51 median fair value across its 2 active models — 15.5% below the current price. QOC: 3.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
EMPD
Price
$2.98
Quality Score
3.9/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +44.9% upside with 32% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 3.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $2.51, 15.5% below the current price of $2.98. Estimates range from $0.72 to $4.31. EMPD scores 3.9/10 on fundamental quality and 32/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. EMPD’s -15.5% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Auto Manufacturers sector median is +15.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Empery Digital Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give EMPD?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.98)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $0.72 -75.9%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $4.31 +44.9%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Empery Digital Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $2.51, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $2.98. While the median implied return is -15.5%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +120.8% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $4.31 (+44.9%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $0.72 (-75.9%). This +120.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Empery Digital Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About EMPD?

2 of 13 models are currently active for EMPD. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for EMPD is $2.51 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does EMPD Rank in Auto Manufacturers?

Among 30 Auto Manufacturers stocks, EMPD ranks #24 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.9 signals below-average fundamentals.

Empery Digital Inc.'s positioning within the Auto Manufacturers segment means that EBIT per unit plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including autonomous driving technology — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is EMPD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EMPD a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Empery Digital Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Empery Digital Inc. earns a quality score of 3.9/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +120.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every EMPD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across EMPD's 2 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Empery Digital Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Auto Manufacturers Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Auto Manufacturers stocks with 13-model coverage

AIEVThunder Power Holdings, Inc.QOC 4.3BINIBollinger Innovations, Inc.QOC 3.7FFAIFaraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.QOC 4.3LOTLotus Technology Inc.QOC 3.1FLYEFly-E Group, Inc.QOC 4.8AIIORobo.ai Inc.QOC 2.8RACEFerrari N.V.QOC 9.7NIONIO Inc.QOC 7.0SSMSono Group N.V.QOC 5.4TSLATesla, Inc.QOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: AIEV · BINI · FFAI · LOT · FLYE · AIIO · RACE · NIO · SSM · TSLA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to EMPD?

7 companies across all industries closest to EMPD’s Quality of Company score of 3.9/10.

FUNIHypha Labs, Inc.QOC 3.9KAYSKaya Holdings, Inc.QOC 3.9QGAIQuantum Genesis AI Corp.QOC 3.9ITOXIIOT-OXYS, Inc.QOC 3.8OVTZOculus Inc.QOC 3.9VIDAVIDA Global Inc.QOC 3.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FUNI · KAYS · QGAI · ITOX · OVTZ · VIDA · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Empery Digital Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Empery Digital Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD)'s intrinsic value at $2.51 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.72 to $4.31. The Quality of Company score is 3.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is EMPD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.98, 1 of 2 active models suggest EMPD may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $2.51, 15.5% below the current price of $2.98 — a consensus view that EMPD is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Empery Digital Inc.'s business model in Auto Manufacturers.

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.9 mean for EMPD?

Empery Digital Inc.'s QOC of 3.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on EMPD?

CirclFi analyzes EMPD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is EMPD a value trap in 2026?

Empery Digital Inc.'s Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) has a median fair value of $2.51 — 15.5% below the current price of $2.98 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/EMPD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this EMPD valuation
  • Financial statements: Empery Digital Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001829794) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for EMPD as of ; valuations recomputed .