Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) Fair Value 2026

EMPD · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) trades at $3.35, approximately 266% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.92. QOC: 4.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
EMPD
Price
$3.35
Quality Score
4.2/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +25.9% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.2/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) appears overvalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $2.51, 25.2% below the current price of $3.35. Estimates range from $0.92 to $5.12. EMPD scores 4.2/10 on fundamental quality and 27/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Empery Digital Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.35)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $0.92 -72.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $4.22 +25.9%

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What Is Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Empery Digital Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $2.84. Trading at $3.35, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -15.3%), as 3 of 5 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $5.12 (+52.9%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $0.92 (-72.7%). This +125.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Empery Digital Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About EMPD?

5 of 13 models are currently active for EMPD. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates EMPD's intrinsic value at $0.92, implying -72.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does EMPD Rank in Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies?

Among 28 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies stocks, EMPD ranks #19 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Empery Digital Inc.'s positioning within the Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies segment means that EBIT per unit plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including autonomous driving technology — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is EMPD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EMPD a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Empery Digital Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Empery Digital Inc. earns a quality score of 4.2/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +125.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every EMPD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across EMPD's 5 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Empery Digital Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies stocks with 13-model coverage

RACEFerrari N.V.QOC 10.0FSSFederal Signal CorporationQOC 9.6FFord Motor CompanyQOC 9.6LILi Auto Inc.QOC 9.5PCARPACCAR Inc.QOC 9.4TSLATesla, Inc.QOC 8.7FLYEFly-E Group, Inc.QOC 8.4OSKOshkosh Corporation (Holding CoQOC 8.0

Read investment analysis: RACE · FSS · F · LI · PCAR

Frequently Asked Questions About Empery Digital Inc.

What is Empery Digital Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.92. The Quality of Company score is 4.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is EMPD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.35, 2 of 5 active models suggest EMPD may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $2.51, 25.2% below the current price of $3.35 — a consensus view that EMPD is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Empery Digital Inc.'s business model in Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.2 mean for EMPD?

Empery Digital Inc.'s QOC of 4.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on EMPD?

CirclFi analyzes EMPD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is EMPD a value trap in 2026?

Empery Digital Inc.'s Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) has a median fair value of $2.51 — 25.2% below the current price of $3.35 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/EMPD/ · Methodology

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