Transcat, Inc. (TRNS) Fair Value 2026

TRNS · Specialty Business Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Transcat, Inc. (TRNS) trades at $89.87, versus a $29.67 median fair value across its 10 active models — 67.0% below the current price. QOC: 8.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $32.21.

Key Facts

Ticker
TRNS
Price
$89.87
Quality Score
8.1/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.1/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Transcat, Inc. (TRNS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Transcat, Inc. (TRNS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $29.67, 67.0% below the current price of $89.87. Estimates range from $3.91 to $66.40. TRNS scores 8.1/10 on fundamental quality and 27/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. TRNS’s -67.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Business Services sector median is -0.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Transcat, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TRNS?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($89.87)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $32.21 -64.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.91 -95.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $27.12 -69.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $60.38 -32.8%
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What Is TRNS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $3.91 to $66.40

CirclFi's 10 active models place Transcat, Inc. (TRNS) between $3.91 and $66.40 per share, a spread of 211% of the median. The median of that range — $29.67 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TRNS, against a current price of $89.87.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$3.91median $29.67$66.40
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$3.91
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$66.40
Model agreement0 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TRNS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TRNS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Transcat, Inc. (TRNS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Transcat, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $29.67, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $89.87. With 10 out of 10 models flagging downside (-67.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $66.40 (-26.1%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $3.91 (-95.7%). This +69.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Transcat, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About TRNS?

10 of 13 models are currently active for TRNS. All 10 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for TRNS is $29.67 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $32.21 on its own, implying -64.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TRNS Rank in Specialty Business Services?

Among 54 Specialty Business Services stocks, TRNS ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places TRNS in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Business Services Stocks →

Transcat, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is TRNS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TRNS a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Transcat, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Transcat, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.1/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +69.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TRNS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TRNS's 10 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Transcat, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Business Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Business Services stocks with 13-model coverage

ARMKAramarkQOC 8.1CRECre8 Enterprise LimitedQOC 8.0CASSCass Information Systems, Inc.QOC 8.1WFCFWhere Food Comes From, Inc.QOC 8.0RBARB Global, Inc.QOC 8.2UNFUniFirst CorporationQOC 8.0RTORentokil Initial plcQOC 7.1BKSYBlackSky Technology Inc.QOC 5.7BUUUBUUU Group LimitedQOC 2.7CTASCintas CorporationQOC 9.2RELXRELX PLCQOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: ARMK · CRE · CASS · WFCF · RBA · UNF · RTO · BKSY · BUUU · CTAS · RELX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TRNS?

7 companies across all industries closest to TRNS’s Quality of Company score of 8.1/10.

AEISAdvanced Energy Industries, Inc.QOC 8.1VIOTViomi Technology Co., LtdQOC 8.1FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc.QOC 8.1PRGSProgress Software CorporationQOC 8.1IBCPIndependent Bank CorporationQOC 8.1TNCTennant CompanyQOC 8.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AEIS · VIOT · FFIN · PRGS · IBCP · TNC · NVDA

Where Does TRNS Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Business Services Rankings?

TRNS is ranked against every other Specialty Business Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Business Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Transcat, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Transcat, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Transcat, Inc. (TRNS)'s intrinsic value at $29.67 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.91 to $66.40. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $32.21 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TRNS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $89.87, 0 of 10 active models suggest TRNS may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $29.67, 67.0% below the current price of $89.87 — a consensus view that TRNS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Transcat, Inc.'s business model in Specialty Business Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.1 mean for TRNS?

Transcat, Inc.'s QOC of 8.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TRNS?

CirclFi analyzes TRNS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TRNS?

Of the 10 models currently active on TRNS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $66.40 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $3.91. CirclFi's published fair value for TRNS is the median of that range, $29.67, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 211% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TRNS a value trap in 2026?

Transcat, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Transcat, Inc. (TRNS) has a median fair value of $29.67 — 67.0% below the current price of $89.87 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TRNS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TRNS valuation
  • Financial statements: Transcat, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000099302) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TRNS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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