What Is Aramark (ARMK) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Aramark's intrinsic value is estimated at $32.20, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $58.00. With 10 out of 12 models flagging downside (-44.5% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $106.57 (+83.7%), versus EPV at $0.76 (-98.7%). This +182.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About ARMK?
12 of 13 models are currently active for ARMK. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ARMK's intrinsic value at $3.57, implying -93.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ARMK Rank in Retail-Eating Places?
Among 45 Retail-Eating Places stocks, ARMK ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.9 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Retail-Eating Places Stocks →
As a consumer-facing company, Aramark operates in a sector where e-commerce penetration rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ARMK should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is ARMK a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ARMK. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Aramark. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Aramark's fundamental quality profile registers 7.9/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +182.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ARMK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ARMK's 12 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad