What Is BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BlackSky Technology Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $7.97, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $24.27. With 7 out of 9 models flagging downside (-67.1% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +9.0% (fair value: $26.44), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -98.2% ($0.44). The spread between these extremes — +107.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About BKSY?
9 of 13 models are currently active for BKSY. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BKSY's intrinsic value at $1.54, implying -93.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does BKSY Rank in Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment?
Among 19 Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment stocks, BKSY ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.
As a telecom operator, BlackSky Technology Inc. operates in a sector where average revenue per user (ARPU) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating BKSY should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is BKSY a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BKSY a score of 36/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
9 of 13 models are active for BlackSky Technology Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, BlackSky Technology Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.2/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +107.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every BKSY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across BKSY's 9 active models, average confidence is 23%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →