SPAR Group, Inc. (SGRP) Fair Value 2026

SGRP · Services-Business Services, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (4/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, SPAR Group, Inc. (SGRP) trades at $0.83. QOC: 5.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 4/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SGRP
Price
$0.83
Quality Score
5.5/10
Value Trap Risk
4/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +95.0% upside with 3% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (8/13) may reduce confidence

Is SPAR Group, Inc. (SGRP) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, SPAR Group, Inc. (SGRP) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $1.17, 41.0% above the current price of $0.83. Estimates range from $0.06 to $2.66. SGRP scores 5.5/10 on fundamental quality and 4/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy SPAR Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.83)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$1.24 +49.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.62 +95.0%
Dynamic NAV
High Conviction
$0.30 -63.9%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
$0.06 -92.4%

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What Is SPAR Group, Inc. (SGRP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SPAR Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $1.10. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $0.83 (implied upside of +32.0%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 5 of 8 bullish models. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +219.5% (fair value: $2.66), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -92.4% ($0.06). The spread between these extremes — +311.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SGRP?

8 of 13 models are currently active for SGRP. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SGRP Rank in Services-Business Services, NEC?

Among 94 Services-Business Services, NEC stocks, SGRP ranks #69 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Business Services, NEC Stocks →

SPAR Group, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is SGRP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SGRP a score of 4/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for SPAR Group, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SPAR Group, Inc. scores 5.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +311.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SGRP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SGRP's 8 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SPAR Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Business Services, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Business Services, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CART · EXLS · FICO · PDD · TCOM

See all Services-Business Services, NEC stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About SPAR Group, Inc.

What is SPAR Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, SPAR Group, Inc. (SGRP) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SGRP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.83, 5 of 8 active models suggest SGRP may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $1.17, 41.0% above the current price of $0.83 — a consensus view that SGRP is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SPAR Group, Inc.'s business model in Services-Business Services, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.5 mean for SGRP?

SPAR Group, Inc.'s QOC of 5.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SGRP?

CirclFi analyzes SGRP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SGRP a value trap in 2026?

SPAR Group, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 4/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, SPAR Group, Inc. (SGRP) has a median fair value of $1.17 — 41.0% above the current price of $0.83 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SGRP/ · Methodology

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