Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS) Fair Value 2026

AEIS · Electrical Equipment & Parts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS) trades at $272.82, versus a $58.06 median fair value across its 11 active models — 78.7% below the current price. QOC: 8.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $50.67.

Key Facts

Ticker
AEIS
Price
$272.82
Quality Score
8.1/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.1/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $58.06, 78.7% below the current price of $272.82. Estimates range from $9.92 to $420.42. AEIS scores 8.1/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. AEIS’s -78.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Electrical Equipment & Parts sector median is -34.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AEIS?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($272.82)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $50.67 -81.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $36.04 -86.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $64.97 -76.2%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $151.48 -44.5%
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What Is AEIS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $9.92 to $420.42

CirclFi's 11 active models place Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS) between $9.92 and $420.42 per share, a spread of 707% of the median. The median of that range — $58.06 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AEIS, against a current price of $272.82.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$9.92median $58.06$420.42
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$9.92
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$420.42
Model agreement1 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AEIS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AEIS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $58.06. Trading at its current price of $272.82, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -78.7%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $420.42 (+54.1%), versus Markov DDM at $9.92 (-96.4%). This +150.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About AEIS?

11 of 13 models are currently active for AEIS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AEIS is $58.06 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $50.67 on its own, implying -81.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AEIS Rank in Electrical Equipment & Parts?

Among 57 Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, AEIS ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places AEIS in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks →

The Electrical Equipment & Parts sector introduces analytical considerations specific to power and energy company businesses. For Advanced Energy Industries, Inc., metrics like regulatory lag provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is AEIS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AEIS a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. scores 8.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +150.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AEIS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AEIS's 11 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks with 13-model coverage

PLPCPreformed Line Products CompanyQOC 8.1BEBloom Energy CorporationQOC 7.6KEKimball Electronics, Inc.QOC 8.3ATKRAtkore Inc.QOC 7.4NVTnVent Electric plcQOC 8.7RFILRF Industries, Ltd.QOC 7.3EAFGrafTech International Ltd.QOC 5.5GWHESS Tech, Inc.QOC 5.0ELVAElectrovaya Inc.QOC 2.5POWLPowell Industries, Inc.QOC 9.6VRTVertiv Holdings CoQOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: PLPC · BE · KE · ATKR · NVT · RFIL · EAF · GWH · ELVA · POWL · VRT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AEIS?

7 companies across all industries closest to AEIS’s Quality of Company score of 8.1/10.

IBCPIndependent Bank CorporationQOC 8.1FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc.QOC 8.1ACTGAcacia Research CorporationQOC 8.1TRNSTranscat, Inc.QOC 8.1UHTUniversal Health Realty Income TrustQOC 8.1SOLSSolstice Advanced Materials, Inc.QOC 8.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: IBCP · FFIN · ACTG · TRNS · UHT · SOLS · NVDA

Where Does AEIS Sit in CirclFi's Electrical Equipment & Parts Rankings?

AEIS is ranked against every other Electrical Equipment & Parts stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS)'s intrinsic value at $58.06 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $9.92 to $420.42. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $50.67 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AEIS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $272.82, 1 of 11 active models suggest AEIS may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $58.06, 78.7% below the current price of $272.82 — a consensus view that AEIS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.'s business model in Electrical Equipment & Parts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.1 mean for AEIS?

Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.'s QOC of 8.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AEIS?

CirclFi analyzes AEIS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AEIS?

Of the 11 models currently active on AEIS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $420.42 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $9.92. CirclFi's published fair value for AEIS is the median of that range, $58.06, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 707% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AEIS a value trap in 2026?

Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (AEIS) has a median fair value of $58.06 — 78.7% below the current price of $272.82 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AEIS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AEIS valuation
  • Financial statements: Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000927003) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AEIS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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