What Is TAL Education Group (TAL) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TAL Education Group's intrinsic value is estimated at $5.37, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $10.36. With 11 out of 13 models flagging downside (-48.2% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, EPV, places fair value at $12.14 (+17.2%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $0.09 (-99.1%). This +116.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about TAL Education Group's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About TAL?
13 of 13 models are currently active for TAL. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TAL's intrinsic value at $2.14, implying -79.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does TAL Rank in Services-Educational Services?
Among 39 Services-Educational Services stocks, TAL ranks #31 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.0 signals below-average fundamentals.
See all Most Undervalued Services-Educational Services Stocks →
TAL Education Group operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is TAL a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for TAL. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for TAL Education Group. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, TAL Education Group's fundamental quality profile registers 3.0/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +116.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every TAL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across TAL's 13 active models, average confidence is 19%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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