Rent the Runway, Inc. (RENT) Fair Value 2026

RENT · Apparel Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (41/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Rent the Runway, Inc. (RENT) trades at $3.59, versus a $6.11 median fair value across its 2 active models — 70.3% above the current price. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 41/100 (WARN). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RENT
Price
$3.59
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
41/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +138.4% upside with 44% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 41 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Rent the Runway, Inc. (RENT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Rent the Runway, Inc. (RENT) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $6.11, 70.3% above the current price of $3.59. Estimates range from $3.67 to $8.56. RENT scores 5.9/10 on fundamental quality and 41/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. RENT’s +70.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Apparel Retail sector median is +3.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Rent the Runway, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RENT?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.59)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $8.56 +138.4%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $3.67 +2.2%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Rent the Runway, Inc. (RENT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Rent the Runway, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $6.11, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $3.59. With a median implied return of +70.3% across a split 1–0 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +136.2% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +138.4% (fair value: $8.56), while PWERM is the most conservative at +2.2% ($3.67). The spread between these extremes — +136.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About RENT?

2 of 13 models are currently active for RENT. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for RENT is $6.11 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RENT Rank in Apparel Retail?

Among 35 Apparel Retail stocks, RENT ranks #28 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Within the Apparel Retail space, Rent the Runway, Inc. competes in an environment where inventory turnover often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is RENT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RENT a score of 41/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Rent the Runway, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Rent the Runway, Inc. is rated at 5.9/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +136.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RENT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RENT's 2 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Rent the Runway, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Apparel Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Apparel Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

AKAa.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.QOC 5.9JEM707 Cayman Holdings LimitedQOC 5.8CURVTorrid Holdings Inc.QOC 6.0TLYSTilly's, Inc.QOC 5.5SFIXStitch Fix, Inc.QOC 6.2MYSZMy Size, Inc.QOC 5.2BKEThe Buckle, Inc.QOC 9.2JILLJ.Jill, Inc.QOC 7.9ZUMZZumiez Inc.QOC 7.2ANFAbercrombie & Fitch Co.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: AKA · JEM · CURV · TLYS · SFIX · MYSZ · BKE · JILL · ZUMZ · ANF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RENT?

7 companies across all industries closest to RENT’s Quality of Company score of 5.9/10.

SOPHSOPHiA GENETICS SAQOC 5.9ANGXAngel Studios, Inc.QOC 5.9JCTCJewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd.QOC 5.9IPWiPower Inc.QOC 5.9NEGGNewegg Commerce, Inc.QOC 5.9CLIRClearSign Technologies CorporationQOC 5.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SOPH · ANGX · JCTC · IPW · NEGG · CLIR · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Rent the Runway, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Rent the Runway, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Rent the Runway, Inc. (RENT)'s intrinsic value at $6.11 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $3.67 to $8.56. The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RENT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.59, 2 of 2 active models suggest RENT may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $6.11, 70.3% above the current price of $3.59 — a consensus view that RENT is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Rent the Runway, Inc.'s business model in Apparel Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for RENT?

Rent the Runway, Inc.'s QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RENT?

CirclFi analyzes RENT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is RENT a value trap in 2026?

Rent the Runway, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 41/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Rent the Runway, Inc. (RENT) has a median fair value of $6.11 — 70.3% above the current price of $3.59 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RENT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RENT valuation
  • Financial statements: Rent the Runway, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001468327) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RENT as of ; valuations recomputed .