PDF Solutions, Inc. (PDFS) Fair Value 2026

PDFS · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (11/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, PDF Solutions, Inc. (PDFS) trades at $46.15, versus a $7.11 median fair value across its 7 active models — 84.6% below the current price. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 11/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $2.33.

Key Facts

Ticker
PDFS
Price
$46.15
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
11/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: 7 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is PDF Solutions, Inc. (PDFS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, PDF Solutions, Inc. (PDFS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $7.11, 84.6% below the current price of $46.15. Estimates range from $1.43 to $48.75. PDFS scores 7.8/10 on fundamental quality and 11/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. PDFS’s -84.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Software - Application sector median is -23.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy PDF Solutions, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PDFS?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($46.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.33 -95.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $7.11 -84.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $1.43 -96.9%
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What Is PDFS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $1.43 to $48.75

CirclFi's 7 active models place PDF Solutions, Inc. (PDFS) between $1.43 and $48.75 per share, a spread of 666% of the median. The median of that range — $7.11 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PDFS, against a current price of $46.15.

Low · First ChicagoHigh · Regime Cross
$1.43median $7.11$48.75
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelFirst Chicago$1.43
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$48.75
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PDFS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PDFS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is PDF Solutions, Inc. (PDFS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, PDF Solutions, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $7.11, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $46.15. With 6 out of 7 models flagging downside (-84.6% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +5.6% (fair value: $48.75), while First Chicago is the most conservative at -96.9% ($1.43). The spread between these extremes — +102.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About PDFS?

7 of 13 models are currently active for PDFS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PDFS is $7.11 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $2.33 on its own, implying -95.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PDFS Rank in Software - Application?

Among 256 Software - Application stocks, PDFS ranks #78 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Application Stocks →

Within the Software - Application space, PDF Solutions, Inc. competes in an environment where rule of 40 score often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is PDFS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PDFS a score of 11/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for PDF Solutions, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, PDF Solutions, Inc. is rated at 7.8/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +102.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PDFS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PDFS's 7 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy PDF Solutions, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

BVCBitVentures LimitedQOC 7.8APIAgora, Inc.QOC 7.8NCNOnCino, Inc.QOC 7.9RBBNRibbon Communications Inc.QOC 7.7PLUSePlus inc.QOC 7.9MAPSWM Technology, Inc.QOC 7.7CREXCreative Realities, Inc.QOC 6.3JTAIJet.AI Inc.QOC 4.6SHOPShopify Inc.QOC 9.3ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.8PTCPTC Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: BVC · API · NCNO · RBBN · PLUS · MAPS · CREX · JTAI · SHOP · ADSK · PTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PDFS?

7 companies across all industries closest to PDFS’s Quality of Company score of 7.8/10.

NKSHNational Bankshares, Inc.QOC 7.8ATRCAtriCure, Inc.QOC 7.8ESCAEscalade, IncorporatedQOC 7.8EXRExtra Space Storage Inc.QOC 7.8DTMDT Midstream, Inc.QOC 7.8TMOThermo Fisher Scientific Inc.QOC 7.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NKSH · ATRC · ESCA · EXR · DTM · TMO · NVDA

Where Does PDFS Sit in CirclFi's Software - Application Rankings?

PDFS is ranked against every other Software - Application stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Application stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About PDF Solutions, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is PDF Solutions, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts PDF Solutions, Inc. (PDFS)'s intrinsic value at $7.11 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.43 to $48.75. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $2.33 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PDFS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $46.15, 1 of 7 active models suggest PDFS may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $7.11, 84.6% below the current price of $46.15 — a consensus view that PDFS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits PDF Solutions, Inc.'s business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for PDFS?

PDF Solutions, Inc.'s QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PDFS?

CirclFi analyzes PDFS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PDFS?

Of the 7 models currently active on PDFS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $48.75 per share, and First Chicago is the most bearish at $1.43. CirclFi's published fair value for PDFS is the median of that range, $7.11, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 666% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PDFS a value trap in 2026?

PDF Solutions, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 11/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, PDF Solutions, Inc. (PDFS) has a median fair value of $7.11 — 84.6% below the current price of $46.15 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PDFS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PDFS valuation
  • Financial statements: PDF Solutions, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001120914) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PDFS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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