NSTS Bancorp, Inc. (NSTS) Fair Value 2026

NSTS · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, NSTS Bancorp, Inc. (NSTS) trades at $13.78, approximately 48% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $26.69. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NSTS
Price
$13.78
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +93.7% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.78)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$26.69 +93.7%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$13.21 -4.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$12.12 -12.1%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$9.14 -33.7%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 8 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 12 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is NSTS Bancorp, Inc. (NSTS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, NSTS Bancorp, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $13.69, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $13.78. With an average implied return of -0.7% across a split 3–6 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +289.1% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +193.8% (fair value: $40.48), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -95.3% ($0.64). The spread between these extremes — +289.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About NSTS?

12 of 13 models are currently active for NSTS. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NSTS's intrinsic value at $26.69, implying +93.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NSTS Rank in Savings Institution, Federally Chartered?

Among 36 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered stocks, NSTS ranks #30 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Savings Institution, Federally Chartered Stocks →

NSTS Bancorp, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is NSTS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NSTS a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for NSTS Bancorp, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, NSTS Bancorp, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.5/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +289.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NSTS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NSTS's 12 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy NSTS Bancorp, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Savings Institution, Federally Chartered Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Savings Institution, Federally Chartered stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CPBI · MGYR · HTB · AX · FCAP

See all Savings Institution, Federally Chartered stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About NSTS Bancorp, Inc.

What is NSTS Bancorp, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, NSTS Bancorp, Inc. (NSTS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $26.69. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NSTS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.78, 3 of 12 active models suggest NSTS may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits NSTS Bancorp, Inc.'s business model in Savings Institution, Federally Chartered.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for NSTS?

NSTS Bancorp, Inc.'s QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NSTS?

CirclFi analyzes NSTS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NSTS a value trap in 2026?

NSTS Bancorp, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 12 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on NSTS.

Unlock All 12 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access