Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. (LCTX) Fair Value 2026

LCTX · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. (LCTX) trades at $1.22, approximately 291% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.31. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LCTX
Price
$1.22
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.22)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $0.31 -74.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $0.30 -75.3%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $0.19 -84.2%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
 $0.18 -85.2%

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What Is Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. (LCTX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.41, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $1.22. With 8 out of 9 models flagging downside (-66.4% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $1.19 (-2.2%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $0.18 (-85.2%). This +83.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About LCTX?

9 of 13 models are currently active for LCTX. All 9 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates LCTX's intrinsic value at $0.31, implying -74.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LCTX Rank in Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)?

Among 145 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) stocks, LCTX ranks #27 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) Stocks →

Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is LCTX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LCTX a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.6/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +83.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LCTX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LCTX's 9 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) stocks with 13-model coverage

EXELExelixis, Inc.QOC 10.0HALOHalozyme Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 10.0NBIXNeurocrine Biosciences, Inc.QOC 10.0GILDGilead Sciences, Inc.QOC 9.7AMGNAmgen Inc.QOC 8.9PLXProtalix BioTherapeutics, Inc. QOC 8.6BIIBBiogen Inc.QOC 8.4IMCRImmunocore Holdings plcQOC 7.9

Read investment analysis: EXEL · HALO · NBIX · GILD · AMGN

See all Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.

What is Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. (LCTX) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.31. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LCTX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.22, 0 of 9 active models suggest LCTX may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.'s business model in Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances).

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for LCTX?

Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.'s QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LCTX?

CirclFi analyzes LCTX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LCTX a value trap in 2026?

Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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