Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Fair Value 2026

KSS · Department Stores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (38/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Kohl's Corporation (KSS) trades at $18.15, versus a $42.66 median fair value across its 9 active models — 135.1% above the current price. QOC: 7.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 38/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $79.10.

Key Facts

Ticker
KSS
Price
$18.15
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
38/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +335.8% upside with 68% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (9/13) may reduce confidence

Is Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Kohl's Corporation (KSS) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $42.66, 135.1% above the current price of $18.15. Estimates range from $9.44 to $79.10. KSS scores 7.1/10 on fundamental quality and 38/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. KSS’s +135.1% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Kohl's Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KSS?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($18.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $79.10 +335.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $10.71 -41.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $42.66 +135.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $28.04 +54.5%
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What Is KSS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $9.44 to $79.10

CirclFi's 9 active models place Kohl's Corporation (KSS) between $9.44 and $79.10 per share, a spread of 163% of the median. The median of that range — $42.66 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for KSS, against a current price of $18.15.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Bayesian DCF
$9.44median $42.66$79.10
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$9.44
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$79.10
Model agreement6 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for KSS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on KSS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Kohl's Corporation (KSS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Kohl's Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $42.66. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $18.15 (implied upside of +135.1%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 6 of 9 bullish models. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +335.8% (fair value: $79.10), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -48.0% ($9.44). The spread between these extremes — +383.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About KSS?

9 of 13 models are currently active for KSS. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for KSS is $42.66 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $79.10 on its own, implying +335.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KSS Rank in Department Stores?

Among 3 Department Stores stocks, KSS ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

Kohl's Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is KSS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KSS a score of 38/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Kohl's Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Kohl's Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 7.1/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +383.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KSS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KSS's 9 active models, average confidence is 54%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Kohl's Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Department Stores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

2 related Department Stores stocks with 13-model coverage

MMacy's, Inc.QOC 7.8PLBLPolibeli Group LtdQOC 2.7

Read investment analysis: M · PLBL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KSS?

7 companies across all industries closest to KSS’s Quality of Company score of 7.1/10.

CAPLCrossAmerica Partners LPQOC 7.1AEEAmeren CorporationQOC 7.1SLFSun Life Financial Inc.QOC 7.1URGNUroGen Pharma Ltd.QOC 7.1ENREnergizer Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.1RPCRidgepost Capital, IncQOC 7.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CAPL · AEE · SLF · URGN · ENR · RPC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Kohl's Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Kohl's Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Kohl's Corporation (KSS)'s intrinsic value at $42.66 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $9.44 to $79.10. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $79.10 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KSS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $18.15, 6 of 9 active models suggest KSS may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $42.66, 135.1% above the current price of $18.15 — a consensus view that KSS is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Kohl's Corporation's business model in Department Stores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for KSS?

Kohl's Corporation's QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KSS?

CirclFi analyzes KSS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on KSS?

Of the 9 models currently active on KSS, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $79.10 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $9.44. CirclFi's published fair value for KSS is the median of that range, $42.66, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 163% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is KSS a value trap in 2026?

Kohl's Corporation's Value Trap score is 38/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Kohl's Corporation (KSS) has a median fair value of $42.66 — 135.1% above the current price of $18.15 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KSS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KSS valuation
  • Financial statements: Kohl's Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000885639) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KSS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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