OrthoPediatrics Corp. (KIDS) Fair Value 2026

KIDS · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, OrthoPediatrics Corp. (KIDS) trades at $19.25, approximately 450% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.50. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
KIDS
Price
$19.25
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.25)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$3.50 -81.8%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$15.74 -18.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$9.32 -51.6%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$1.14 -94.1%

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What Is OrthoPediatrics Corp. (KIDS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, OrthoPediatrics Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $9.80, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $19.25. With 10 out of 11 models flagging downside (-49.1% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $19.03 (-1.1%), versus ML-RIV at $0.79 (-95.9%). This +94.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About KIDS?

11 of 13 models are currently active for KIDS. All 11 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates KIDS's intrinsic value at $3.50, implying -81.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KIDS Rank in Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus?

Among 117 Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus stocks, KIDS ranks #33 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus Stocks →

OrthoPediatrics Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is KIDS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KIDS a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for OrthoPediatrics Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, OrthoPediatrics Corp. is rated at 7.3/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +94.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KIDS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KIDS's 11 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy OrthoPediatrics Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About OrthoPediatrics Corp.

What is OrthoPediatrics Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, OrthoPediatrics Corp. (KIDS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.50. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KIDS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.25, 0 of 11 active models suggest KIDS may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits OrthoPediatrics Corp.'s business model in Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for KIDS?

OrthoPediatrics Corp.'s QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KIDS?

CirclFi analyzes KIDS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is KIDS a value trap in 2026?

OrthoPediatrics Corp.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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