Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. (ESTA) Fair Value 2026

ESTA · Medical Devices ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. (ESTA) trades at $71.80, versus a $2.63 median fair value across its 2 active models — 96.3% below the current price. QOC: 7.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ESTA
Price
$71.80
Quality Score
7.0/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. (ESTA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. (ESTA) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $2.63, 96.3% below the current price of $71.80. Estimates range from $1.80 to $3.46. ESTA scores 7.0/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ESTA’s -96.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Medical Devices sector median is -43.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ESTA?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($71.80)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $1.80 -97.5%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $3.46 -95.2%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. (ESTA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Establishment Labs Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $2.63, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $71.80. With 2 out of 2 models flagging downside (-96.3% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About ESTA?

2 of 13 models are currently active for ESTA. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for ESTA is $2.63 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ESTA Rank in Medical Devices?

Among 157 Medical Devices stocks, ESTA ranks #49 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Medical Devices Stocks →

As a healthcare company, Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. operates in a sector where biosimilar competition timeline is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ESTA should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is ESTA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ESTA a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Establishment Labs Holdings Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Establishment Labs Holdings Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.0/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

Models cluster within a tight range (+2.3% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ESTA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ESTA's 2 active models, average confidence is 27%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Medical Devices Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Medical Devices stocks with 13-model coverage

MASS908 Devices Inc.QOC 7.1MXCTMaxCyte, Inc.QOC 7.0IRTCiRhythm Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.1PRCTPROCEPT BioRobotics CorporationQOC 6.9LNSRLENSAR, Inc.QOC 7.1CERSCerus CorporationQOC 6.9NMTCNeuroOne Medical Technologies CorporationQOC 6.1FEEDENvue Medical, Inc.QOC 4.8INSPInspire Medical Systems, Inc.QOC 9.0IRMDIRADIMED CORPORATIONQOC 9.8PODDInsulet CorporationQOC 9.6

Read investment analysis: MASS · MXCT · IRTC · PRCT · LNSR · CERS · NMTC · FEED · INSP · IRMD · PODD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ESTA?

7 companies across all industries closest to ESTA’s Quality of Company score of 7.0/10.

WKWorkiva Inc.QOC 7.0JVACoffee Holding Co., Inc.QOC 7.0AIPArteris, Inc.QOC 7.1HTHHilltop Holdings Inc.QOC 7.0MHHMastech Digital, Inc.QOC 7.1FCCOFirst Community CorporationQOC 7.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WK · JVA · AIP · HTH · MHH · FCCO · NVDA

Where Does ESTA Sit in CirclFi's Medical Devices Rankings?

ESTA is ranked against every other Medical Devices stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Medical Devices stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Establishment Labs Holdings Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Establishment Labs Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. (ESTA)'s intrinsic value at $2.63 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.80 to $3.46. The Quality of Company score is 7.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ESTA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $71.80, 0 of 2 active models suggest ESTA may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $2.63, 96.3% below the current price of $71.80 — a consensus view that ESTA is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Establishment Labs Holdings Inc.'s business model in Medical Devices.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.0 mean for ESTA?

Establishment Labs Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 7.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ESTA?

CirclFi analyzes ESTA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ESTA a value trap in 2026?

Establishment Labs Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. (ESTA) has a median fair value of $2.63 — 96.3% below the current price of $71.80 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ESTA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ESTA valuation
  • Financial statements: Establishment Labs Holdings Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001688757) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ESTA as of ; valuations recomputed .