Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) Fair Value 2026

JMKE · Restaurants ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-09-15, Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) trades at $20.75, versus a $21.06 median fair value across its 2 active models — 1.5% above the current price. QOC: 3.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
JMKE
Price
$20.75
Quality Score
3.6/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +8.7% upside with 4% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 3.6/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $21.06, within 1.5% of the current price of $20.75. Estimates range from $19.55 to $22.56. JMKE scores 3.6/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.5% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,795 rated companies as of 2026-09-15. JMKE’s +1.5% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Restaurants sector median is -13.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give JMKE?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($20.75)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Low Conviction
 $19.55 -5.8%
Option-Based · Low Conviction
 $22.56 +8.7%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $21.06, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $20.75. With a median implied return of +1.5% across a split 1–1 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +14.5% underscores analytical uncertainty.

What Do the Models Say About JMKE?

2 of 13 models are currently active for JMKE. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for JMKE is $21.06 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does JMKE Rank in Restaurants?

Among 56 Restaurants stocks, JMKE ranks #53 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.6 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Restaurants Stocks →

Within the Restaurants space, Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. competes in an environment where inventory turnover often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is JMKE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns JMKE a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. is rated at 3.6/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

Models cluster within a tight range (+14.5% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every JMKE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across JMKE's 2 active models, average confidence is 7%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Restaurants Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Restaurants stocks with 13-model coverage

KITLKisses From Italy Inc.QOC 4.1CCHHCCH Holdings LtdQOC 2.8REBNReborn Coffee, Inc.QOC 4.9HCHLHappy City Holdings LimitedQOC 2.6HWHHWH International Inc.QOC 4.9CHSNChanson International HoldingQOC 1.9MCDMcDonald's CorporationQOC 8.3SBUXStarbucks CorporationQOC 7.4SGSweetgreen, Inc.QOC 5.9EATBrinker International, Inc.QOC 9.3CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.QOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: KITL · CCHH · REBN · HCHL · HWH · CHSN · MCD · SBUX · SG · EAT · CMG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to JMKE?

7 companies across all industries closest to JMKE’s Quality of Company score of 3.6/10.

AVATAvalanche Treasury CorporationQOC 3.6HEPAHepion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 3.6EEGIEline Entertainment Group, Inc.QOC 3.6NXTSNexentis Technologies Inc.QOC 3.6FYNNFyntechnical Innovations Inc.QOC 3.6SSMRSunshine Silver Mining & Refining CompanyQOC 3.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AVAT · HEPA · EEGI · NXTS · FYNN · SSMR · NVDA

Where Does JMKE Sit in CirclFi's Restaurants Rankings?

JMKE is ranked against every other Restaurants stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Restaurants stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE)'s intrinsic value at $21.06 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-09-15, ranging from $19.55 to $22.56. The Quality of Company score is 3.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is JMKE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $20.75, 1 of 2 active models suggest JMKE may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $21.06, within 1.5% of the current price of $20.75 — a consensus view that JMKE is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.'s business model in Restaurants.

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.6 mean for JMKE?

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.'s QOC of 3.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on JMKE?

CirclFi analyzes JMKE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is JMKE a value trap in 2026?

Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. (JMKE) has a median fair value of $21.06 — within 1.5% of the current price of $20.75 — as of 2026-09-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/JMKE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this JMKE valuation
  • Financial statements: Jersey Mike's Subs Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002127043) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for JMKE as of ; valuations recomputed .