IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP) Fair Value 2026

ITP · Paper & Paper Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (10/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP) trades at $0.18, versus $0.72 from the Bayesian DCF — the only model with a usable estimate for ITP. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 10/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ITP
Price
$0.18
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
10/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +296.5% upside with 60% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (1/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ITP?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.18)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.72 +296.5%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for IT Tech Packaging, Inc.. Trading at $0.18 against an estimated intrinsic value of $0.72, 1 of 1 active models flag meaningful upside of +296.5% at the median.

What Do the Models Say About ITP?

1 of 13 models are currently active for ITP. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $0.72 on its own, implying +296.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ITP Rank in Paper & Paper Products?

Among 5 Paper & Paper Products stocks, ITP ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

IT Tech Packaging, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ITP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ITP a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for IT Tech Packaging, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, IT Tech Packaging, Inc. is rated at 6.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ITP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ITP's 1 active models, average confidence is 60%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy IT Tech Packaging, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Paper & Paper Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Paper & Paper Products stocks with 13-model coverage

SLVMSylvamo CorporationQOC 7.8SUZSuzano S.A.QOC 7.6CLWClearwater Paper CorporationQOC 6.6MERCMercer International Inc.QOC 5.3

Read investment analysis: SLVM · SUZ · CLW · MERC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ITP?

7 companies across all industries closest to ITP’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

NVRIEnviri CorporationQOC 6.4UUUUEnergy Fuels Inc.QOC 6.4PRAAPRA Group, Inc.QOC 6.4ECORelectroCore, Inc.QOC 6.4AREAlexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc.QOC 6.4MANManpowerGroup Inc.QOC 6.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NVRI · UUUU · PRAA · ECOR · ARE · MAN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About IT Tech Packaging, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is IT Tech Packaging, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP). One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $0.72 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ITP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.18, 1 of 1 active models suggest ITP may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits IT Tech Packaging, Inc.'s business model in Paper & Paper Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for ITP?

IT Tech Packaging, Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ITP?

CirclFi analyzes ITP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ITP a value trap in 2026?

IT Tech Packaging, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 10/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP) a Quality of Company score of 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ITP/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ITP valuation
  • Financial statements: IT Tech Packaging, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001358190) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ITP as of ; valuations recomputed .