IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP) Fair Value 2026

ITP · Converted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (14/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP) trades at $0.17. QOC: 7.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 14/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ITP
Price
$0.17
Quality Score
7.0/10
Value Trap Risk
14/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +215.6% upside with 44% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.17)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Regime Cross-Sectional
Medium Conviction
 $0.54 +215.6%
Sentiment SOTP
Medium Conviction
 $0.42 +144.7%
PWERM
Medium Conviction
 $0.39 +130.0%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for IT Tech Packaging, Inc.. Trading at $0.17 against an estimated intrinsic value of $0.45, 3 of 3 active models flag meaningful upside of +163.4% on average. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $0.54 (+215.6%), while PWERM — the most conservative — estimates $0.39 (+130.0%). This +85.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about IT Tech Packaging, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ITP?

3 of 13 models are currently active for ITP. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ITP Rank in Converted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes)?

Among 5 Converted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes) stocks, ITP ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.

IT Tech Packaging, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ITP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ITP a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for IT Tech Packaging, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, IT Tech Packaging, Inc. is rated at 7.0/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +85.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ITP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ITP's 3 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy IT Tech Packaging, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Converted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Converted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes) stocks with 13-model coverage

AVYAvery Dennison CorporationQOC 8.9KMBKimberly-Clark CorporationQOC 8.6PACKRanpak Holdings CorpQOC 6.7DSYBig Tree Cloud Holdings LimitedQOC 2.4

Read investment analysis: AVY · KMB · PACK · DSY

Frequently Asked Questions About IT Tech Packaging, Inc.

What is IT Tech Packaging, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, IT Tech Packaging, Inc. (ITP) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 7.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ITP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.17, 3 of 3 active models suggest ITP may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits IT Tech Packaging, Inc.'s business model in Converted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes).

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.0 mean for ITP?

IT Tech Packaging, Inc.'s QOC of 7.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ITP?

CirclFi analyzes ITP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ITP a value trap in 2026?

IT Tech Packaging, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 14/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →