HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd (HIVE) Fair Value 2026

HIVE · Finance Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

— (—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd (HIVE) trades at $3.20, approximately 182% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.13. QOC: 2.8/10. 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HIVE
Price
$3.20
Quality Score
2.8/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: 10 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.8/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd (HIVE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd (HIVE) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $3.09, within 3.3% of the current price of $3.20. Estimates range from $1.13 to $4.20. HIVE scores 2.8/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.20)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $1.13 -64.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $3.12 -2.5%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $2.10 -34.4%
Regime Cross-Sectional
Medium Conviction
 $3.07 -4.1%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 6 additional models including ML-RIV, Dynamic NAV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 10 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd (HIVE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $2.94, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $3.20. While the average implied return is -8.0%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +95.8% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $4.20 (+31.2%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $1.13 (-64.6%). This +95.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About HIVE?

10 of 13 models are currently active for HIVE. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HIVE's intrinsic value at $1.13, implying -64.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HIVE Rank in Finance Services?

Among 114 Finance Services stocks, HIVE ranks #102 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.8 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Finance Services Stocks →

HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is HIVE a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for HIVE. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd earns a quality score of 2.8/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +95.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HIVE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HIVE's 10 active models, average confidence is 16%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Finance Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Finance Services stocks with 13-model coverage

QFINQfin Holdings, Inc.QOC 10.0XYFX FinancialQOC 9.7COINCoinbase Global, Inc.QOC 9.6SIISprott Inc.QOC 9.4JFINJiayin Group Inc.QOC 9.2AXPAmerican Express CompanyQOC 9.2FUFUBitFuFu Inc.QOC 9.0OPFIOppFi Inc.QOC 8.8

Read investment analysis: QFIN · XYF · COIN · SII · JFIN

See all Finance Services stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd

What is HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd (HIVE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.13. The Quality of Company score is 2.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HIVE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.20, 4 of 10 active models suggest HIVE may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $3.09, within 3.3% of the current price of $3.20 — a consensus view that HIVE is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd's business model in Finance Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.8 mean for HIVE?

HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd's QOC of 2.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HIVE?

CirclFi analyzes HIVE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HIVE a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for HIVE at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd (HIVE) has a median fair value of $3.09 — within 3.3% of the current price of $3.20 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HIVE/ · Methodology

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 10 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on HIVE.

Unlock All 10 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access