Hadron Energy, Inc. (HDRN) Fair Value 2026

HDRN · Specialty Industrial Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Hadron Energy, Inc. (HDRN) trades at $2.22, versus a $0.58 median fair value across its 5 active models — 73.9% below the current price. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $0.48.

Key Facts

Ticker
HDRN
Price
$2.22
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Hadron Energy, Inc. (HDRN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Hadron Energy, Inc. (HDRN) appears overvalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $0.58, 73.9% below the current price of $2.22. Estimates range from $0.26 to $1.38. HDRN scores 5.4/10 on fundamental quality and 32/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. HDRN’s -73.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Industrial Machinery sector median is -47.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Hadron Energy, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HDRN?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.22)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $0.48 -78.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $0.58 -73.9%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 3 additional models including Dynamic NAV, Regime Cross-Sectional, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 5 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is HDRN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $0.26 to $1.38

CirclFi's 5 active models place Hadron Energy, Inc. (HDRN) between $0.26 and $1.38 per share, a spread of 193% of the median. The median of that range — $0.58 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HDRN, against a current price of $2.22.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$0.26median $0.58$1.38
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$0.26
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$1.38
Model agreement0 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for HDRN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HDRN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Hadron Energy, Inc. (HDRN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hadron Energy, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.58. Trading at its current price of $2.22, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 5 of 5 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -73.9%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $1.38 (-37.8%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $0.26 (-88.2%). This +50.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Hadron Energy, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About HDRN?

5 of 13 models are currently active for HDRN. All 5 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for HDRN is $0.58 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $0.48 on its own, implying -78.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HDRN Rank in Specialty Industrial Machinery?

Among 84 Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, HDRN ranks #58 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks →

Hadron Energy, Inc.'s positioning within the Specialty Industrial Machinery segment means that order backlog depth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including automation and productivity gains — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is HDRN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HDRN a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Hadron Energy, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Hadron Energy, Inc. earns a quality score of 5.4/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +50.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HDRN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HDRN's 5 active models, average confidence is 15%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Hadron Energy, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

NGTFNightfood Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.5RRRichtech Robotics Inc.QOC 5.4CVATCavitation Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.6NEWHNewHydrogen, Inc.QOC 5.0LASELaser Photonics CorporationQOC 5.6CETYClean Energy Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.0KRNTKornit Digital Ltd.QOC 3.0IRIngersoll Rand Inc.QOC 8.8OFLXOmega Flex, Inc.QOC 8.0EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.QOC 9.4WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: NGTF · RR · CVAT · NEWH · LASE · CETY · KRNT · IR · OFLX · EPAC · WTS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HDRN?

7 companies across all industries closest to HDRN’s Quality of Company score of 5.4/10.

RTONRight On Brands, Inc.QOC 5.4PLUGPlug Power Inc.QOC 5.4DNLIDenali Therapeutics Inc.QOC 5.4NBPNovaBridge BiosciencesQOC 5.4HYPDHyperion DeFi, Inc.QOC 5.4VRDRVerde Resources, Inc.QOC 5.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RTON · PLUG · DNLI · NBP · HYPD · VRDR · NVDA

Where Does HDRN Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Industrial Machinery Rankings?

HDRN is ranked against every other Specialty Industrial Machinery stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Hadron Energy, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Hadron Energy, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Hadron Energy, Inc. (HDRN)'s intrinsic value at $0.58 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.26 to $1.38. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $0.48 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HDRN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.22, 0 of 5 active models suggest HDRN may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $0.58, 73.9% below the current price of $2.22 — a consensus view that HDRN is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Hadron Energy, Inc.'s business model in Specialty Industrial Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for HDRN?

Hadron Energy, Inc.'s QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HDRN?

CirclFi analyzes HDRN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HDRN?

Of the 5 models currently active on HDRN, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $1.38 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $0.26. CirclFi's published fair value for HDRN is the median of that range, $0.58, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 193% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HDRN a value trap in 2026?

Hadron Energy, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Hadron Energy, Inc. (HDRN) has a median fair value of $0.58 — 73.9% below the current price of $2.22 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HDRN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HDRN valuation
  • Financial statements: Hadron Energy, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002023730) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HDRN as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 5 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on HDRN.

Unlock All 5 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

3 models hidden for HDRN Unlock All 5 — $39/mo