Guerrilla RF, Inc. (GUER) Fair Value 2026

GUER · Semiconductors ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (39/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Guerrilla RF, Inc. (GUER) trades at $4.05, versus a $3.48 median fair value across its 2 active models — 14.1% below the current price. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 39/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GUER
Price
$4.05
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
39/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +57.3% upside with 48% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Guerrilla RF, Inc. (GUER) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Guerrilla RF, Inc. (GUER) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $3.48, 14.1% below the current price of $4.05. Estimates range from $0.59 to $6.37. GUER scores 5.9/10 on fundamental quality and 39/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. GUER’s -14.1% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Semiconductors sector median is -62.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Guerrilla RF, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GUER?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.05)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $0.59 -85.5%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $6.37 +57.3%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Guerrilla RF, Inc. (GUER) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Guerrilla RF, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $3.48, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $4.05. With a median implied return of -14.1% across a split 1–1 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +142.9% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +57.3% (fair value: $6.37), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -85.5% ($0.59). The spread between these extremes — +142.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About GUER?

2 of 13 models are currently active for GUER. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GUER is $3.48 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GUER Rank in Semiconductors?

Among 71 Semiconductors stocks, GUER ranks #50 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors Stocks →

As a chip maker, Guerrilla RF, Inc. operates in a sector where design win pipeline is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating GUER should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is GUER a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GUER a score of 39/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Guerrilla RF, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Guerrilla RF, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +142.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GUER valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GUER's 2 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Guerrilla RF, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Semiconductors stocks with 13-model coverage

MXMagnachip Semiconductor CorporationQOC 6.0WOLFWolfspeed, Inc.QOC 5.8GSITGSI Technology, Inc.QOC 6.1ALMUAeluma, Inc.QOC 5.8QUIKQuickLogic CorporationQOC 6.2PRSOPeraso Inc.QOC 5.8HIMXHimax Technologies, Inc.QOC 2.5UMCUnited Microelectronics CorporationQOC 8.5SLABSilicon Laboratories Inc.QOC 7.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0AVGOBroadcom Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: MX · WOLF · GSIT · ALMU · QUIK · PRSO · HIMX · UMC · SLAB · NVDA · AVGO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GUER?

6 companies across all industries closest to GUER’s Quality of Company score of 5.9/10.

AURXNuo Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 5.9STKSThe ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.QOC 5.9CGTLCreative Global Technology Holdings LimitedQOC 5.9TTECTTEC Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.9AMSAmerican Shared Hospital ServicesQOC 5.9TARSTarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 5.9

Read investment analysis: AURX · STKS · CGTL · TTEC · AMS · TARS

Where Does GUER Sit in CirclFi's Semiconductors Rankings?

GUER is ranked against every other Semiconductors stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Semiconductors stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Guerrilla RF, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Guerrilla RF, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Guerrilla RF, Inc. (GUER)'s intrinsic value at $3.48 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.59 to $6.37. The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GUER overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.05, 1 of 2 active models suggest GUER may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $3.48, 14.1% below the current price of $4.05 — a consensus view that GUER is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Guerrilla RF, Inc.'s business model in Semiconductors.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for GUER?

Guerrilla RF, Inc.'s QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GUER?

CirclFi analyzes GUER with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GUER a value trap in 2026?

Guerrilla RF, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 39/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Guerrilla RF, Inc. (GUER) has a median fair value of $3.48 — 14.1% below the current price of $4.05 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GUER/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GUER valuation
  • Financial statements: Guerrilla RF, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001832487) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GUER as of ; valuations recomputed .