Edible Garden AG Incorporated (EDBL) Fair Value 2026

EDBL · Agricultural Production-Crops ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (36/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Edible Garden AG Incorporated (EDBL) trades at $4.20. QOC: 4.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 36/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
EDBL
Price
$4.20
Quality Score
4.2/10
Value Trap Risk
36/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: 10 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.2/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.20)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$1.74 -58.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.80 -57.2%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$1.47 -65.0%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
$0.22 -94.8%

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What Is Edible Garden AG Incorporated (EDBL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Edible Garden AG Incorporated's intrinsic value is estimated at $1.36, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $4.20. With 10 out of 10 models flagging downside (-67.7% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, EROIC, places fair value at $2.46 (-41.5%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $0.14 (-96.5%). This +55.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Edible Garden AG Incorporated's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About EDBL?

10 of 13 models are currently active for EDBL. All 10 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does EDBL Rank in Agricultural Production-Crops?

Among 9 Agricultural Production-Crops stocks, EDBL ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Edible Garden AG Incorporated operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is EDBL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EDBL a score of 36/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Edible Garden AG Incorporated. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Edible Garden AG Incorporated is rated at 4.2/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +55.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every EDBL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across EDBL's 10 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Edible Garden AG Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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8 related Agricultural Production-Crops stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Edible Garden AG Incorporated

What is Edible Garden AG Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Edible Garden AG Incorporated (EDBL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 4.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is EDBL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.20, 0 of 10 active models suggest EDBL may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Edible Garden AG Incorporated's business model in Agricultural Production-Crops.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.2 mean for EDBL?

Edible Garden AG Incorporated's QOC of 4.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on EDBL?

CirclFi analyzes EDBL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is EDBL a value trap in 2026?

Edible Garden AG Incorporated's Value Trap score is 36/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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