Cheetah Mobile Inc. (CMCM) Fair Value 2026

CMCM · Internet Content & Information ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (43/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Cheetah Mobile Inc. (CMCM) trades at $3.30, versus a $11.38 median fair value across its 3 active models — 244.8% above the current price. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 43/100 (WARN). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CMCM
Price
$3.30
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
43/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +387.3% upside with 15% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 43 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Cheetah Mobile Inc. (CMCM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Cheetah Mobile Inc. (CMCM) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $11.38, 244.8% above the current price of $3.30. Estimates range from $0.72 to $16.08. CMCM scores 6.3/10 on fundamental quality and 43/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. CMCM’s +244.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Internet Content & Information sector median is -13.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Cheetah Mobile Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CMCM?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.30)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $0.72 -78.1%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $16.08 +387.3%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $11.38 +244.8%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is CMCM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $0.72 to $16.08

CirclFi's 3 active models place Cheetah Mobile Inc. (CMCM) between $0.72 and $16.08 per share, a spread of 135% of the median. The median of that range — $11.38 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CMCM, against a current price of $3.30.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$0.72median $11.38$16.08
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$0.72
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$16.08
Model agreement2 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CMCM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CMCM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Cheetah Mobile Inc. (CMCM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Cheetah Mobile Inc. at $3.30. With an estimated intrinsic value of $11.38 and 2 of 3 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +244.8%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $16.08 (+387.3%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $0.72 (-78.1%). This +465.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Cheetah Mobile Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CMCM?

3 of 13 models are currently active for CMCM. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CMCM is $11.38 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CMCM Rank in Internet Content & Information?

Among 78 Internet Content & Information stocks, CMCM ranks #46 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Internet Content & Information Stocks →

Cheetah Mobile Inc.'s positioning within the Internet Content & Information segment means that free cash flow margin plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including total addressable market (TAM) expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is CMCM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CMCM a score of 43/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Cheetah Mobile Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Cheetah Mobile Inc. earns a quality score of 6.3/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +465.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CMCM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CMCM's 3 active models, average confidence is 22%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Cheetah Mobile Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Internet Content & Information Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Internet Content & Information stocks with 13-model coverage

PODCPodcastOne, Inc.QOC 6.3ZDGEZedge, Inc.QOC 6.2DOYUDouYu International Holdings LimitedQOC 6.3GETYGetty Images Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.2SJScienjoy Holding CorporationQOC 6.3DIBS1stdibs.Com, Inc.QOC 6.1GIFTGiftify, Inc.QOC 4.8YELPYelp Inc.QOC 8.9ZZillow Group, Inc.QOC 7.6GOOGAlphabet Inc.QOC 9.6METAMeta Platforms, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: PODC · ZDGE · DOYU · GETY · SJ · DIBS · GIFT · YELP · Z · GOOG · META

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CMCM?

7 companies across all industries closest to CMCM’s Quality of Company score of 6.3/10.

BWMGBrownie's Marine Group, Inc.QOC 6.3CARLCarlsmed, Inc.QOC 6.3ECVTEcovyst Inc.QOC 6.3INDIindie Semiconductor, Inc.QOC 6.3SNOASonoma Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 6.3PKPark Hotels & Resorts Inc.QOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BWMG · CARL · ECVT · INDI · SNOA · PK · NVDA

Where Does CMCM Sit in CirclFi's Internet Content & Information Rankings?

CMCM is ranked against every other Internet Content & Information stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Internet Content & Information stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Cheetah Mobile Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Cheetah Mobile Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Cheetah Mobile Inc. (CMCM)'s intrinsic value at $11.38 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.72 to $16.08. The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CMCM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.30, 2 of 3 active models suggest CMCM may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $11.38, 244.8% above the current price of $3.30 — a consensus view that CMCM is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Cheetah Mobile Inc.'s business model in Internet Content & Information.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for CMCM?

Cheetah Mobile Inc.'s QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CMCM?

CirclFi analyzes CMCM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CMCM?

Of the 3 models currently active on CMCM, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $16.08 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $0.72. CirclFi's published fair value for CMCM is the median of that range, $11.38, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 135% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CMCM a value trap in 2026?

Cheetah Mobile Inc.'s Value Trap score is 43/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Cheetah Mobile Inc. (CMCM) has a median fair value of $11.38 — 244.8% above the current price of $3.30 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CMCM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CMCM valuation
  • Financial statements: Cheetah Mobile Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001597835) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CMCM as of ; valuations recomputed .