Burning Rock Biotech Limited (BNR) Fair Value 2026

BNR · Services-Medical Laboratories ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Burning Rock Biotech Limited (BNR) trades at $9.60, approximately 56% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $6.14. QOC: 6.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BNR
Price
$9.60
Quality Score
6.2/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +108.2% upside with 19% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is Burning Rock Biotech Limited (BNR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Burning Rock Biotech Limited (BNR) appears undervalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $12.74, 32.7% above the current price of $9.60. Estimates range from $4.50 to $37.08. BNR scores 6.2/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Burning Rock Biotech Limited Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($9.60)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$6.14 -36.1%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$19.98 +108.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$14.33 +49.2%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$9.24 -3.7%

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What Is Burning Rock Biotech Limited (BNR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Burning Rock Biotech Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $14.91. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $9.60 (implied upside of +55.3%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 8 of 12 bullish models. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +286.3% (fair value: $37.08), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -53.1% ($4.50). The spread between these extremes — +339.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About BNR?

12 of 13 models are currently active for BNR. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BNR's intrinsic value at $6.14, implying -36.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BNR Rank in Services-Medical Laboratories?

Among 24 Services-Medical Laboratories stocks, BNR ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.

Burning Rock Biotech Limited operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BNR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BNR a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Burning Rock Biotech Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Burning Rock Biotech Limited scores 6.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +339.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BNR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BNR's 12 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Burning Rock Biotech Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Medical Laboratories Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Medical Laboratories stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CSTL · VCYT · DGX · CDNA · FLGT

Frequently Asked Questions About Burning Rock Biotech Limited

What is Burning Rock Biotech Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Burning Rock Biotech Limited (BNR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $6.14. The Quality of Company score is 6.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BNR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $9.60, 8 of 12 active models suggest BNR may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $12.74, 32.7% above the current price of $9.60 — a consensus view that BNR is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Burning Rock Biotech Limited's business model in Services-Medical Laboratories.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.2 mean for BNR?

Burning Rock Biotech Limited's QOC of 6.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BNR?

CirclFi analyzes BNR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BNR a value trap in 2026?

Burning Rock Biotech Limited's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Burning Rock Biotech Limited (BNR) has a median fair value of $12.74 — 32.7% above the current price of $9.60 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BNR/ · Methodology

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