Aeries Technology, Inc (AERT) Fair Value 2026

AERT · Consulting Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (47/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Aeries Technology, Inc (AERT) trades at $7.06, versus a $9.85 median fair value across its 10 active models — 39.5% above the current price. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 47/100 (WARN). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $4.79.

Key Facts

Ticker
AERT
Price
$7.06
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
47/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +217.1% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 47 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Aeries Technology, Inc (AERT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Aeries Technology, Inc (AERT) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $9.85, 39.5% above the current price of $7.06. Estimates range from $1.92 to $22.39. AERT scores 6.6/10 on fundamental quality and 47/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. AERT’s +39.5% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Aeries Technology, Inc Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AERT?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.06)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.79 -32.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $9.43 +33.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $22.39 +217.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.33 +117.1%
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What Is AERT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $1.92 to $22.39

CirclFi's 10 active models place Aeries Technology, Inc (AERT) between $1.92 and $22.39 per share, a spread of 208% of the median. The median of that range — $9.85 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AERT, against a current price of $7.06.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · First Chicago
$1.92median $9.85$22.39
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$1.92
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$22.39
Model agreement6 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AERT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AERT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Aeries Technology, Inc (AERT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Aeries Technology, Inc at $7.06. With an estimated intrinsic value of $9.85 and 6 of 10 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +39.5%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $22.39 (+217.1%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $1.92 (-72.8%). This +289.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Aeries Technology, Inc's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About AERT?

10 of 13 models are currently active for AERT. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AERT is $9.85 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $4.79 on its own, implying -32.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AERT Rank in Consulting Services?

Among 29 Consulting Services stocks, AERT ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

Aeries Technology, Inc operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is AERT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AERT a score of 47/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Aeries Technology, Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Aeries Technology, Inc scores 6.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +289.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AERT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AERT's 10 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Aeries Technology, Inc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Consulting Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Consulting Services stocks with 13-model coverage

ZTGZenta Group Company LimitedQOC 7.0FORRForrester Research, Inc.QOC 6.6EFXEquifax Inc.QOC 7.8LAWRRobot Consulting Co., Ltd.QOC 6.4EUBGEntrepreneur Universe Bright GroupQOC 7.9PPHCPublic Policy Holding Company, Inc.QOC 6.2INTJIntelligent Group LimitedQOC 5.6ACCLAcco Group Holdings LimitedQOC 2.8HURNHuron Consulting Group Inc.QOC 8.4BAHBooz Allen Hamilton Holding CorporationQOC 8.8CRAICRA International, Inc.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: ZTG · FORR · EFX · LAWR · EUBG · PPHC · INTJ · ACCL · HURN · BAH · CRAI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AERT?

7 companies across all industries closest to AERT’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

FRPHFRP Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.6ARQArq, Inc.QOC 6.6HHyatt Hotels CorporationQOC 6.6HTLDHeartland Express, Inc.QOC 6.6AAMEAtlantic American CorporationQOC 6.6NTRBNutriband Inc.QOC 6.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FRPH · ARQ · H · HTLD · AAME · NTRB · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Aeries Technology, Inc’s Valuation?

What is Aeries Technology, Inc's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Aeries Technology, Inc (AERT)'s intrinsic value at $9.85 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.92 to $22.39. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $4.79 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AERT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.06, 7 of 10 active models suggest AERT may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $9.85, 39.5% above the current price of $7.06 — a consensus view that AERT is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Aeries Technology, Inc's business model in Consulting Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for AERT?

Aeries Technology, Inc's QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AERT?

CirclFi analyzes AERT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AERT?

Of the 10 models currently active on AERT, First Chicago is the most bullish at $22.39 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $1.92. CirclFi's published fair value for AERT is the median of that range, $9.85, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 208% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AERT a value trap in 2026?

Aeries Technology, Inc's Value Trap score is 47/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Aeries Technology, Inc (AERT) has a median fair value of $9.85 — 39.5% above the current price of $7.06 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AERT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AERT valuation
  • Financial statements: Aeries Technology, Inc 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001853044) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AERT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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