W&T Offshore, Inc. (WTI) Fair Value 2026

WTI · Oil & Gas E&P ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (35/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, W&T Offshore, Inc. (WTI) trades at $3.57, versus a $3.58 median fair value across its 3 active models — 0.3% above the current price. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 35/100 (LOW). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
WTI
Price
$3.57
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
35/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: RCMH-DCF suggests +5.8% upside with 49% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Is W&T Offshore, Inc. (WTI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, W&T Offshore, Inc. (WTI) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $3.58, essentially in line with the current price of $3.57. Estimates range from $2.34 to $3.78. WTI scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 35/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. WTI’s +0.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas E&P sector median is -0.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy W&T Offshore, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WTI?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.57)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $2.34 -34.4%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $3.78 +5.8%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $3.58 +0.3%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is WTI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $2.34 to $3.78

CirclFi's 3 active models place W&T Offshore, Inc. (WTI) between $2.34 and $3.78 per share, a spread of 40% of the median. The median of that range — $3.58 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for WTI, against a current price of $3.57.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · RCMH-DCF
$2.34median $3.58$3.78
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$2.34
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$3.78
Model agreement1 bullish · 1 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on WTI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is W&T Offshore, Inc. (WTI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, W&T Offshore, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $3.58, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $3.57. With a median implied return of +0.3% across a split 1–1 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +40.2% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +5.8% (fair value: $3.78), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -34.4% ($2.34). The spread between these extremes — +40.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About WTI?

3 of 13 models are currently active for WTI. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WTI is $3.58 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WTI Rank in Oil & Gas E&P?

Among 90 Oil & Gas E&P stocks, WTI ranks #57 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas E&P Stocks →

The Oil & Gas E&P sector introduces analytical considerations specific to oil and gas company businesses. For W&T Offshore, Inc., metrics like debt-to-EBITDAX provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is WTI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WTI a score of 35/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for W&T Offshore, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, W&T Offshore, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +40.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WTI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WTI's 3 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy W&T Offshore, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas E&P Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas E&P stocks with 13-model coverage

EPSNEpsilon Energy Ltd.QOC 6.5TXOTXO Partners, L.P.QOC 6.1BKVBKV CorporationQOC 6.6SPNDSpindletop Oil & Gas Co.QOC 6.0KGEIKolibri Global Energy Inc.QOC 6.6BRNBarnwell Industries, Inc.QOC 5.9MTRMesa Royalty TrustQOC 5.0EQTEQT CorporationQOC 8.7NOGNorthern Oil and Gas, Inc.QOC 7.8TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationQOC 9.1BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: EPSN · TXO · BKV · SPND · KGEI · BRN · MTR · EQT · NOG · TPL · BSM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WTI?

7 companies across all industries closest to WTI’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

ALOYREalloys Inc.QOC 6.4MSCStudio City International Holdings LimitedQOC 6.4WSCWillScot Holdings CorporationQOC 6.4FCELFuelCell Energy, Inc.QOC 6.4ARAYAccuray IncorporatedQOC 6.4LAWRRobot Consulting Co., Ltd.QOC 6.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ALOY · MSC · WSC · FCEL · ARAY · LAWR · NVDA

Where Does WTI Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas E&P Rankings?

WTI is ranked against every other Oil & Gas E&P stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas E&P stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About W&T Offshore, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is W&T Offshore, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts W&T Offshore, Inc. (WTI)'s intrinsic value at $3.58 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $2.34 to $3.78. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WTI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.57, 2 of 3 active models suggest WTI may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $3.58, essentially in line with the current price of $3.57 — a consensus view that WTI is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits W&T Offshore, Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas E&P.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for WTI?

W&T Offshore, Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WTI?

CirclFi analyzes WTI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on WTI?

Of the 3 models currently active on WTI, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $3.78 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $2.34. CirclFi's published fair value for WTI is the median of that range, $3.58, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 40% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is WTI a value trap in 2026?

W&T Offshore, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 35/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, W&T Offshore, Inc. (WTI) has a median fair value of $3.58 — essentially in line with the current price of $3.57 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WTI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WTI valuation
  • Financial statements: W&T Offshore, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001288403) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WTI as of ; valuations recomputed .