Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. (TSLX) Fair Value 2026

TSLX · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (40/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. (TSLX) trades at $17.27, versus a $16.41 median fair value across its 8 active models — 5.0% below the current price. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 40/100 (WARN). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TSLX
Price
$17.27
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
40/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +0.6% upside with 27% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 40 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. (TSLX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. (TSLX) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $16.41, within 5.0% of the current price of $17.27. Estimates range from $2.30 to $36.32. TSLX scores 6.6/10 on fundamental quality and 40/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. TSLX’s -5.0% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Asset Management sector median is +3.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TSLX?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($17.27)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $2.30 -86.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $15.45 -10.5%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $8.60 -50.2%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $17.38 +0.6%
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What Is TSLX's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $2.30 to $36.32

CirclFi's 8 active models place Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. (TSLX) between $2.30 and $36.32 per share, a spread of 207% of the median. The median of that range — $16.41 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TSLX, against a current price of $17.27.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$2.30median $16.41$36.32
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$2.30
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$36.32
Model agreement3 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TSLX. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TSLX, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. (TSLX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $16.41, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $17.27. With a median implied return of -5.0% across a split 3–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +197.0% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +110.3% (fair value: $36.32), while EPV is the most conservative at -86.7% ($2.30). The spread between these extremes — +197.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About TSLX?

8 of 13 models are currently active for TSLX. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TSLX is $16.41 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TSLX Rank in Asset Management?

Among 187 Asset Management stocks, TSLX ranks #57 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is TSLX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TSLX a score of 40/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.6/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +197.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TSLX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TSLX's 8 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

BBDCBarings BDC, Inc.QOC 6.6IVZInvesco Ltd.QOC 6.6NCDLNuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.QOC 6.6MAINMain Street Capital CorporationQOC 6.5SCMStellus Capital Investment CorporationQOC 6.7KWYKingsway CorporationQOC 6.5BNBXBNB Plus Corp.QOC 5.1SDEVStablecoin Development CorporatQOC 4.6CNSCohen & Steers, Inc.QOC 8.5HLNEHamilton Lane IncorporatedQOC 9.3AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: BBDC · IVZ · NCDL · MAIN · SCM · KWY · BNBX · SDEV · CNS · HLNE · AMP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TSLX?

6 companies across all industries closest to TSLX’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

ZEOXZeo ScientifiX, Inc.QOC 6.6IVFHInnovative Food Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.6SLDPSolid Power, Inc.QOC 6.6HTZHertz Global Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.6DLHCDLH Holdings Corp.QOC 6.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ZEOX · IVFH · SLDP · HTZ · DLHC · NVDA

Where Does TSLX Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

TSLX is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. (TSLX)'s intrinsic value at $16.41 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $2.30 to $36.32. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TSLX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $17.27, 4 of 8 active models suggest TSLX may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $16.41, within 5.0% of the current price of $17.27 — a consensus view that TSLX is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.'s business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for TSLX?

Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.'s QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TSLX?

CirclFi analyzes TSLX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TSLX?

Of the 8 models currently active on TSLX, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $36.32 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $2.30. CirclFi's published fair value for TSLX is the median of that range, $16.41, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 207% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TSLX a value trap in 2026?

Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 40/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. (TSLX) has a median fair value of $16.41 — within 5.0% of the current price of $17.27 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TSLX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TSLX valuation

Market data for TSLX as of ; valuations recomputed .

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