Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc. (TCRT) Fair Value 2026

TCRT · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (33/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc. (TCRT) trades at $2.13, approximately 237% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.63. QOC: 5.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 33/100 (LOW). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TCRT
Price
$2.13
Quality Score
5.1/10
Value Trap Risk
33/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +92.9% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc. (TCRT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc. (TCRT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $0.41, 80.7% below the current price of $2.13. Estimates range from $0.09 to $4.11. TCRT scores 5.1/10 on fundamental quality and 33/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.13)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.63 -70.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$4.11 +92.9%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$0.19 -91.2%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
$0.09 -95.6%

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What Is Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc. (TCRT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc. at its current price of $2.13. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $1.18 (-44.5% average return), with 5 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: CUCE targets $4.11 (+92.9%), versus ML-RIV at $0.09 (-95.6%). This +188.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About TCRT?

8 of 13 models are currently active for TCRT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TCRT's intrinsic value at $0.63, implying -70.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TCRT Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 431 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, TCRT ranks #193 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.1 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

Within the Pharmaceutical Preparations space, Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc. competes in an environment where pipeline depth and stage distribution often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is TCRT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TCRT a score of 33/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc. is rated at 5.1/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +188.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TCRT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TCRT's 8 active models, average confidence is 19%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc.

What is Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc. (TCRT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.63. The Quality of Company score is 5.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TCRT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.13, 1 of 8 active models suggest TCRT may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $0.41, 80.7% below the current price of $2.13 — a consensus view that TCRT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.1 mean for TCRT?

Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc.'s QOC of 5.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TCRT?

CirclFi analyzes TCRT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TCRT a value trap in 2026?

Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 33/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Alaunos Therapeutics, Inc. (TCRT) has a median fair value of $0.41 — 80.7% below the current price of $2.13 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TCRT/ · Methodology

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