Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) Fair Value 2026

SEG · Real Estate Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (25/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) trades at $26.79, versus a $33.51 median fair value across its 5 active models — 25.1% above the current price. QOC: 5.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 25/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SEG
Price
$26.79
Quality Score
5.1/10
Value Trap Risk
25/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +18.8% upside with 17% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (5/13) may reduce confidence

Is Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) appears undervalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $33.51, 25.1% above the current price of $26.79. Estimates range from $18.68 to $35.94. SEG scores 5.1/10 on fundamental quality and 25/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. SEG’s +25.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Real Estate Services sector median is -6.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SEG?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($26.79)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $31.83 +18.8%
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $18.68 -30.3%
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What Is SEG's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $18.68 to $35.94

CirclFi's 5 active models place Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) between $18.68 and $35.94 per share, a spread of 52% of the median. The median of that range — $33.51 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SEG, against a current price of $26.79.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · PWERM
$18.68median $33.51$35.94
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$18.68
Most bullish modelPWERM$35.94
Model agreement4 bullish · 1 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SEG, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $33.51. At a current market price of $26.79, 4 of 5 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +25.1%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +34.1% (fair value: $35.94), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -30.3% ($18.68). The spread between these extremes — +64.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SEG?

5 of 13 models are currently active for SEG. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SEG is $33.51 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SEG Rank in Real Estate Services?

Among 52 Real Estate Services stocks, SEG ranks #39 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.1 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a REIT, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. operates in a sector where funds from operations (FFO) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SEG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SEG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SEG a score of 25/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. is rated at 5.1/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +64.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SEG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SEG's 5 active models, average confidence is 28%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Real Estate Services stocks with 13-model coverage

STHOStar HoldingsQOC 5.2AWCAAwaysis Capital, Inc.QOC 5.0SRGSeritage Growth PropertiesQOC 5.3UKUcommune International LtdQOC 4.8NYCAmerican Strategic Investment Co.QOC 5.4EUDAEUDA Health Holdings LimitedQOC 4.7CIGIColliers International Group Inc.QOC 2.1RMRThe RMR Group Inc.QOC 7.3MAYSJ.W. Mays, Inc.QOC 6.3CHCIComstock Holding Companies, Inc.QOC 8.9IRSIRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad AnónimaQOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: STHO · AWCA · SRG · UK · NYC · EUDA · CIGI · RMR · MAYS · CHCI · IRS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SEG?

7 companies across all industries closest to SEG’s Quality of Company score of 5.1/10.

MKZRMacKenzie Realty Capital, Inc.QOC 5.1RPTRithm Property Trust Inc.QOC 5.1CYDYCytoDyn Inc.QOC 5.1AECAnfield Energy Inc.QOC 5.1WRDWeRide Inc.QOC 5.1JUNSJupiter Neurosciences, Inc.QOC 5.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MKZR · RPT · CYDY · AEC · WRD · JUNS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG)'s intrinsic value at $33.51 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $18.68 to $35.94. The Quality of Company score is 5.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SEG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $26.79, 4 of 5 active models suggest SEG may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $33.51, 25.1% above the current price of $26.79 — a consensus view that SEG is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.'s business model in Real Estate Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.1 mean for SEG?

Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.'s QOC of 5.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SEG?

CirclFi analyzes SEG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SEG?

Of the 5 models currently active on SEG, PWERM is the most bullish at $35.94 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $18.68. CirclFi's published fair value for SEG is the median of that range, $33.51, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 52% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SEG a value trap in 2026?

Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.'s Value Trap score is 25/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) has a median fair value of $33.51 — 25.1% above the current price of $26.79 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SEG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SEG valuation
  • Financial statements: Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002009684) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SEG as of ; valuations recomputed .

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