Star Holdings (STHO) Fair Value 2026

STHO · Real Estate Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (33/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Star Holdings (STHO) trades at $9.85, versus a $4.51 median fair value across its 3 active models — 54.2% below the current price. QOC: 5.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 33/100 (LOW). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
STHO
Price
$9.85
Quality Score
5.2/10
Value Trap Risk
33/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +175.2% upside with 28% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Star Holdings (STHO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Star Holdings (STHO) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $4.51, 54.2% below the current price of $9.85. Estimates range from $1.91 to $27.11. STHO scores 5.2/10 on fundamental quality and 33/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. STHO’s -54.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Real Estate Services sector median is -6.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Star Holdings Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give STHO?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($9.85)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $4.51 -54.2%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $27.11 +175.2%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $1.91 -80.6%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is STHO's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $1.91 to $27.11

CirclFi's 3 active models place Star Holdings (STHO) between $1.91 and $27.11 per share, a spread of 559% of the median. The median of that range — $4.51 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for STHO, against a current price of $9.85.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · PWERM
$1.91median $4.51$27.11
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$1.91
Most bullish modelPWERM$27.11
Model agreement1 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for STHO. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on STHO, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Star Holdings (STHO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Star Holdings's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $4.51. Trading at $9.85, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -54.2%), as 2 of 3 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $27.11 (+175.2%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $1.91 (-80.6%). This +255.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Star Holdings's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About STHO?

3 of 13 models are currently active for STHO. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for STHO is $4.51 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does STHO Rank in Real Estate Services?

Among 52 Real Estate Services stocks, STHO ranks #38 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Star Holdings's positioning within the Real Estate Services segment means that funds from operations (FFO) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including rental rate escalation — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is STHO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns STHO a score of 33/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Star Holdings. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Star Holdings earns a quality score of 5.2/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +255.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every STHO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across STHO's 3 active models, average confidence is 30%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Star Holdings Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Real Estate Services stocks with 13-model coverage

SRGSeritage Growth PropertiesQOC 5.3SEGSeaport Entertainment Group Inc.QOC 5.1NYCAmerican Strategic Investment Co.QOC 5.4AWCAAwaysis Capital, Inc.QOC 5.0AIREreAlpha Tech Corp.QOC 5.4UKUcommune International LtdQOC 4.8PETZTDH Holdings, Inc.QOC 2.9LHAILinkhome Holdings Inc.QOC 7.5ARLAmerican Realty Investors, Inc.QOC 6.4CHCIComstock Holding Companies, Inc.QOC 8.9IRSIRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad AnónimaQOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: SRG · SEG · NYC · AWCA · AIRE · UK · PETZ · LHAI · ARL · CHCI · IRS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to STHO?

7 companies across all industries closest to STHO’s Quality of Company score of 5.2/10.

WHENWorld Health Energy Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.2IONRioneer LtdQOC 5.2AITXArtificial Intelligence Technology Solutions Inc.QOC 5.2PREMPremier Air Charter Holdings Inc.QOC 5.2MYSZMy Size, Inc.QOC 5.2OPTUOptimum Communications, Inc.QOC 5.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WHEN · IONR · AITX · PREM · MYSZ · OPTU · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Star Holdings’s Valuation?

What is Star Holdings's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Star Holdings (STHO)'s intrinsic value at $4.51 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.91 to $27.11. The Quality of Company score is 5.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is STHO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $9.85, 1 of 3 active models suggest STHO may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $4.51, 54.2% below the current price of $9.85 — a consensus view that STHO is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Star Holdings's business model in Real Estate Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.2 mean for STHO?

Star Holdings's QOC of 5.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on STHO?

CirclFi analyzes STHO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on STHO?

Of the 3 models currently active on STHO, PWERM is the most bullish at $27.11 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $1.91. CirclFi's published fair value for STHO is the median of that range, $4.51, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 559% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is STHO a value trap in 2026?

Star Holdings's Value Trap score is 33/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Star Holdings (STHO) has a median fair value of $4.51 — 54.2% below the current price of $9.85 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/STHO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this STHO valuation
  • Financial statements: Star Holdings 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001953366) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for STHO as of ; valuations recomputed .