Gladstone Commercial Corporatio (GOODO) Fair Value 2026

GOODO · Lessors of Real Property, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Gladstone Commercial Corporatio (GOODO) trades at $20.04, approximately 57% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $46.96. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GOODO
Price
$20.04
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +134.3% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($20.04)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$46.96 +134.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$15.06 -24.9%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$4.64 -76.8%
Markov DDM
High Conviction
$12.36 -38.3%

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What Is Gladstone Commercial Corporatio (GOODO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gladstone Commercial Corporatio's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $17.77. Trading at $20.04, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -11.3%), as 6 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +134.3% (fair value: $46.96), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -77.3% ($4.56). The spread between these extremes — +211.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About GOODO?

9 of 13 models are currently active for GOODO. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GOODO's intrinsic value at $46.96, implying +134.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GOODO Rank in Lessors of Real Property, NEC?

Among 4 Lessors of Real Property, NEC stocks, GOODO ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

Gladstone Commercial Corporatio operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is GOODO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GOODO a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Gladstone Commercial Corporatio. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gladstone Commercial Corporatio scores 7.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +211.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GOODO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GOODO's 9 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Gladstone Commercial Corporatio Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Lessors of Real Property, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

3 related Lessors of Real Property, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: GOOD · GOODN · STHO

Frequently Asked Questions About Gladstone Commercial Corporatio

What is Gladstone Commercial Corporatio's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Gladstone Commercial Corporatio (GOODO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $46.96. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GOODO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $20.04, 3 of 9 active models suggest GOODO may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Gladstone Commercial Corporatio's business model in Lessors of Real Property, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for GOODO?

Gladstone Commercial Corporatio's QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GOODO?

CirclFi analyzes GOODO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GOODO a value trap in 2026?

Gladstone Commercial Corporatio's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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