RUM Group Inc. (RUM) Fair Value 2026

RUM · Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, RUM Group Inc. (RUM) trades at $6.09, approximately 195% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.07. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RUM
Price
$6.09
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is RUM Group Inc. (RUM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, RUM Group Inc. (RUM) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $1.94, 68.1% below the current price of $6.09. Estimates range from $0.17 to $15.92. RUM scores 6.5/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy RUM Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.09)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$2.07 -66.1%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$3.51 -42.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.82 -70.1%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$1.16 -80.9%

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What Is RUM Group Inc. (RUM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, RUM Group Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $3.45. Trading at its current price of $6.09, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -43.3%. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +161.5% (fair value: $15.92), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -97.3% ($0.17). The spread between these extremes — +258.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV, EROIC lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About RUM?

12 of 13 models are currently active for RUM. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates RUM's intrinsic value at $2.07, implying -66.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RUM Rank in Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.?

Among 75 Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. stocks, RUM ranks #38 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. Stocks →

RUM Group Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is RUM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RUM a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for RUM Group Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, RUM Group Inc. scores 6.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +258.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RUM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RUM's 12 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy RUM Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: GOOG · GOOGL · TTD · BZ · BIDU

See all Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About RUM Group Inc.

What is RUM Group Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, RUM Group Inc. (RUM) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.07. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RUM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.09, 1 of 12 active models suggest RUM may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $1.94, 68.1% below the current price of $6.09 — a consensus view that RUM is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits RUM Group Inc.'s business model in Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc..

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for RUM?

RUM Group Inc.'s QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RUM?

CirclFi analyzes RUM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is RUM a value trap in 2026?

RUM Group Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, RUM Group Inc. (RUM) has a median fair value of $1.94 — 68.1% below the current price of $6.09 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RUM/ · Methodology

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