Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value (NUW) Fair Value 2026

NUW · — ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

— (—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-17, Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value (NUW) trades at $14.39, approximately 280% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.79. QOC: 2.0/10. 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NUW
Price
$14.39
Quality Score
2.0/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +19.2% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value (NUW) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value (NUW) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $10.33, 28.2% below the current price of $14.39. Estimates range from $3.79 to $17.15. NUW scores 2.0/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($14.39)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $3.79 -73.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $10.09 -29.9%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
 $17.15 +19.2%

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What Is Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value (NUW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $11.02. Trading at $14.39, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -23.4%), as 4 of 7 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +19.2% (fair value: $17.15), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -73.7% ($3.79). The spread between these extremes — +92.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About NUW?

7 of 13 models are currently active for NUW. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NUW's intrinsic value at $3.79, implying -73.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NUW Rank in —?

NUW operates in the — sector. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.0 signals below-average fundamentals.

Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is NUW a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for NUW. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value earns a quality score of 2.0/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +92.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NUW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NUW's 7 active models, average confidence is 3%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar — Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related — stocks with 13-model coverage

PSECProspect Capital CorporationQOC 8.4SCMStellus Capital Investment CorpQOC 7.8FDUSFidus Investment CorporationQOC 7.6HTGCHercules Capital, Inc.QOC 7.6GLADGladstone Capital CorporationQOC 7.4TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC QOC 7.3OXSQOxford Square Capital Corp.QOC 7.2GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.QOC 7.2

Read investment analysis: PSEC · SCM · FDUS · HTGC · GLAD

Frequently Asked Questions About Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value

What is Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value (NUW) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.79. The Quality of Company score is 2.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NUW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $14.39, 2 of 7 active models suggest NUW may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $10.33, 28.2% below the current price of $14.39 — a consensus view that NUW is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value's business model in —.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.0 mean for NUW?

Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value's QOC of 2.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NUW?

CirclFi analyzes NUW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NUW a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for NUW at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Nuveen AMT-Free Municipal Value (NUW) has a median fair value of $10.33 — 28.2% below the current price of $14.39 — as of 2026-07-17.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NUW/ · Methodology

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