New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) Fair Value 2026

NFE · Oil & Gas Midstream ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (41/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) trades at $0.29, versus a $0.72 median fair value across its 2 active models — 145.3% above the current price. QOC: 5.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 41/100 (WARN). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NFE
Price
$0.29
Quality Score
5.5/10
Value Trap Risk
41/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +190.1% upside with 47% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 41 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $0.72, 145.3% above the current price of $0.29. Estimates range from $0.59 to $0.85. NFE scores 5.5/10 on fundamental quality and 41/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. NFE’s +145.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Midstream sector median is -12.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy New Fortress Energy Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NFE?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.29)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $0.85 +190.1%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $0.59 +100.6%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, New Fortress Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $0.72. At a current market price of $0.29, 2 of 2 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +145.3%. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +190.1% (fair value: $0.85), while FTNN is the most conservative at +100.6% ($0.59). The spread between these extremes — +89.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About NFE?

2 of 13 models are currently active for NFE. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for NFE is $0.72 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NFE Rank in Oil & Gas Midstream?

Among 55 Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, NFE ranks #44 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks →

As a oil and gas company, New Fortress Energy Inc. operates in a sector where capital efficiency ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NFE should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is NFE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NFE a score of 41/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for New Fortress Energy Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, New Fortress Energy Inc. is rated at 5.5/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +89.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NFE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NFE's 2 active models, average confidence is 27%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy New Fortress Energy Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Oil & Gas Midstream stocks with 13-model coverage

SMCSummit Midstream CorporationQOC 5.5TOROToro Corp.QOC 5.4TMDETMD Energy LimitedQOC 5.6SBRSabine Royalty TrustQOC 5.1SUNCSunocoCorp LLCQOC 5.8PBTPermian Basin Royalty TrustQOC 5.1FLNGFLEX LNG Ltd.QOC 9.0PBAPembina Pipeline CorporationQOC 8.1DLNGDynagas LNG Partners LPQOC 7.5HESMHess Midstream LPQOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: SMC · TORO · TMDE · SBR · SUNC · PBT · FLNG · PBA · DLNG · HESM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NFE?

7 companies across all industries closest to NFE’s Quality of Company score of 5.5/10.

NGTFNightfood Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.5VEEETwin Vee Powercats Co.QOC 5.5NHPNational Healthcare Properties, Inc.QOC 5.5LUCDLucid Diagnostics Inc.QOC 5.5GROYGold Royalty Corp.QOC 5.5SLRCSLR Investment Corp.QOC 5.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NGTF · VEEE · NHP · LUCD · GROY · SLRC · NVDA

Where Does NFE Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas Midstream Rankings?

NFE is ranked against every other Oil & Gas Midstream stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas Midstream stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About New Fortress Energy Inc.’s Valuation?

What is New Fortress Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE)'s intrinsic value at $0.72 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.59 to $0.85. The Quality of Company score is 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NFE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.29, 2 of 2 active models suggest NFE may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $0.72, 145.3% above the current price of $0.29 — a consensus view that NFE is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits New Fortress Energy Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas Midstream.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.5 mean for NFE?

New Fortress Energy Inc.'s QOC of 5.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NFE?

CirclFi analyzes NFE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NFE a value trap in 2026?

New Fortress Energy Inc.'s Value Trap score is 41/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) has a median fair value of $0.72 — 145.3% above the current price of $0.29 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NFE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NFE valuation
  • Financial statements: New Fortress Energy Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001749723) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NFE as of ; valuations recomputed .