New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) Fair Value 2026

NFE · Natural Gas Distribution ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 4 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (5/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) trades at $0.37. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 5/100 (SAFE). 4/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NFE
Price
$0.37
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
5/100
Models Active
4/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +237.9% upside with 45% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (4/13) may reduce confidence

Is New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 4 independent fair value estimates is $0.35, within 5.4% of the current price of $0.37. Estimates range from $0.01 to $1.26. NFE scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 5/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy New Fortress Energy Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

4 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.37)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Regime Cross-Sectional
Medium Conviction
$1.26 +237.9%
Sentiment SOTP
Medium Conviction
$0.05 -87.3%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 2 additional models including ML-RIV, FTNN Topology.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 4 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, New Fortress Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.49, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $0.37. With an average implied return of +32.5% across a split 2–2 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +335.1% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +237.9% (fair value: $1.26), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -97.2% ($0.01). The spread between these extremes — +335.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About NFE?

4 of 13 models are currently active for NFE. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NFE Rank in Natural Gas Distribution?

Among 13 Natural Gas Distribution stocks, NFE ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

As a oil and gas company, New Fortress Energy Inc. operates in a sector where capital efficiency ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NFE should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is NFE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NFE a score of 5/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

4 of 13 models are active for New Fortress Energy Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, New Fortress Energy Inc. is rated at 6.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +335.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NFE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NFE's 4 active models, average confidence is 27%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy New Fortress Energy Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Natural Gas Distribution Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Natural Gas Distribution stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: UGP · NJR · EE · CQP · NFG

Frequently Asked Questions About New Fortress Energy Inc.

What is New Fortress Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NFE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.37, 2 of 4 active models suggest NFE may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 4 fair value estimates is $0.35, within 5.4% of the current price of $0.37 — a consensus view that NFE is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits New Fortress Energy Inc.'s business model in Natural Gas Distribution.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for NFE?

New Fortress Energy Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NFE?

CirclFi analyzes NFE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 4 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NFE a value trap in 2026?

New Fortress Energy Inc.'s Value Trap score is 5/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) has a median fair value of $0.35 — within 5.4% of the current price of $0.37 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NFE/ · Methodology

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 4 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on NFE.

Unlock All 4 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access