Mynd.ai, Inc. (MYND) Fair Value 2026

MYND · Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (57/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Mynd.ai, Inc. (MYND) trades at $0.40. QOC: 4.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 57/100 (WARN). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MYND
Price
$0.40
Quality Score
4.7/10
Value Trap Risk
57/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: ML-RIV suggests +287.9% upside with 44% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 57 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Mynd.ai, Inc. (MYND) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Mynd.ai, Inc. (MYND) appears undervalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $0.89, 122.1% above the current price of $0.40. Estimates range from $0.07 to $1.56. MYND scores 4.7/10 on fundamental quality and 57/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Mynd.ai, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.40)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$0.89 +122.1%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
$1.56 +287.9%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 3 additional models including Markov DDM, PWERM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 5 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Mynd.ai, Inc. (MYND) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Mynd.ai, Inc. at $0.40. With an estimated intrinsic value of $0.82 and 3 of 5 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +103.9%. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $1.56 (+287.9%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $0.07 (-83.7%). This +371.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Mynd.ai, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About MYND?

5 of 13 models are currently active for MYND. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MYND Rank in Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC?

Among 17 Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC stocks, MYND ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Mynd.ai, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is MYND a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MYND a score of 57/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Mynd.ai, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Mynd.ai, Inc. scores 4.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +371.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MYND valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MYND's 5 active models, average confidence is 30%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Mynd.ai, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: FTNT · LOGI · MITK · PANW · TACT

Frequently Asked Questions About Mynd.ai, Inc.

What is Mynd.ai, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Mynd.ai, Inc. (MYND) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 4.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MYND overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.40, 4 of 5 active models suggest MYND may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $0.89, 122.1% above the current price of $0.40 — a consensus view that MYND is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Mynd.ai, Inc.'s business model in Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.7 mean for MYND?

Mynd.ai, Inc.'s QOC of 4.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MYND?

CirclFi analyzes MYND with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MYND a value trap in 2026?

Mynd.ai, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 57/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Mynd.ai, Inc. (MYND) has a median fair value of $0.89 — 122.1% above the current price of $0.40 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MYND/ · Methodology

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 5 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on MYND.

Unlock All 5 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access