What Is Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Murphy Oil Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $56.06, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $34.90. With an average implied return of +60.6% across a split 6–5 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +533.4% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +457.4% (fair value: $194.54), while EPV is the most conservative at -76.0% ($8.39). The spread between these extremes — +533.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About MUR?
12 of 13 models are currently active for MUR. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MUR's intrinsic value at $158.83, implying +355.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MUR Rank in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas?
Among 80 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks, MUR ranks #45 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks →
Murphy Oil Corporation's positioning within the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas segment means that capital efficiency ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including production growth trajectory — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is MUR a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MUR a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Murphy Oil Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Murphy Oil Corporation scores 6.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +533.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MUR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MUR's 12 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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