MFS Government Markets Income T (MGF) Fair Value 2026

MGF · — ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

— (—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, MFS Government Markets Income T (MGF) trades at $2.83, approximately 137% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.19. QOC: 2.0/10. 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MGF
Price
$2.83
Quality Score
2.0/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +23.3% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is MFS Government Markets Income T (MGF) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, MFS Government Markets Income T (MGF) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $2.71, within 4.2% of the current price of $2.83. Estimates range from $0.29 to $6.54. MGF scores 2.0/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy MFS Government Markets Income T Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.83)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $1.19 -57.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $2.71 -4.2%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
 $3.49 +23.3%
Markov DDM
Low Conviction
 $2.44 -13.9%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 5 additional models including ML-RIV, Dynamic NAV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 9 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is MFS Government Markets Income T (MGF) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, MFS Government Markets Income T presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $2.83. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $2.71 (-4.2% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 3 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $6.54 (+131.1%), versus Regime Cross at $0.29 (-89.7%). This +220.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About MGF?

9 of 13 models are currently active for MGF. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MGF's intrinsic value at $1.19, implying -57.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MGF Rank in —?

MGF operates in the — sector. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.0 signals below-average fundamentals.

MFS Government Markets Income T operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is MGF a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for MGF. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for MFS Government Markets Income T. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, MFS Government Markets Income T earns a quality score of 2.0/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +220.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MGF valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MGF's 9 active models, average confidence is 3%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy MFS Government Markets Income T Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar — Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related — stocks with 13-model coverage

PSECProspect Capital CorporationQOC 8.4SCMStellus Capital Investment CorpQOC 7.8FDUSFidus Investment CorporationQOC 7.6HTGCHercules Capital, Inc.QOC 7.6GLADGladstone Capital CorporationQOC 7.4TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC QOC 7.3OXSQOxford Square Capital Corp.QOC 7.2GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.QOC 7.2

Read investment analysis: PSEC · SCM · FDUS · HTGC · GLAD

Frequently Asked Questions About MFS Government Markets Income T

What is MFS Government Markets Income T's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, MFS Government Markets Income T (MGF) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.19. The Quality of Company score is 2.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MGF overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.83, 3 of 9 active models suggest MGF may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $2.71, within 4.2% of the current price of $2.83 — a consensus view that MGF is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits MFS Government Markets Income T's business model in —.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.0 mean for MGF?

MFS Government Markets Income T's QOC of 2.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MGF?

CirclFi analyzes MGF with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MGF a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for MGF at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, MFS Government Markets Income T (MGF) has a median fair value of $2.71 — within 4.2% of the current price of $2.83 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MGF/ · Methodology

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 9 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on MGF.

Unlock All 9 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access