Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) Fair Value 2026

MATH · Capital Markets ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (40/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) trades at $0.82. QOC: 2.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 40/100 (WARN). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MATH
Price
$0.82
Quality Score
2.4/10
Value Trap Risk
40/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +6.4% upside with 25% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 40 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MATH?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.82)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $0.87 +6.4%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Metalpha Technology Holding Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $0.87. At a current market price of $0.82, 1 of 1 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +6.4%.

What Do the Models Say About MATH?

1 of 13 models are currently active for MATH. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MATH Rank in Capital Markets?

Among 103 Capital Markets stocks, MATH ranks #101 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.4 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Capital Markets Stocks →

Metalpha Technology Holding Limited's positioning within the Capital Markets segment means that return on tangible equity plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including interest rate environment — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is MATH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MATH a score of 40/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Metalpha Technology Holding Limited. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Metalpha Technology Holding Limited earns a quality score of 2.4/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MATH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MATH's 1 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Metalpha Technology Holding Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Capital Markets Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Capital Markets stocks with 13-model coverage

AXGSolowin HoldingsQOC 2.4LGHLLion Group Holding Ltd.QOC 2.4MTCMMTec, Inc.QOC 2.5SOSSOS LimitedQOC 1.4ABTSAbits Group Inc.QOC 2.5FUTUFutu Holdings LimitedQOC 9.8BMHLBluemount Holdings LimitedQOC 7.6IRENIREN LimitedQOC 5.8BRRProCap Financial, Inc.QOC 4.9HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: AXG · LGHL · MTC · SOS · ABTS · FUTU · BMHL · IREN · BRR · HOOD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MATH?

5 companies across all industries closest to MATH’s Quality of Company score of 2.4/10.

WCTWellchange Holdings Company LimitedQOC 2.4EPRXEupraxia Pharmaceuticals Inc.QOC 2.4NNNNAnbio BiotechnologyQOC 2.4PBRPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - PetrobrasQOC 2.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WCT · EPRX · NNNN · PBR · NVDA

Where Does MATH Sit in CirclFi's Capital Markets Rankings?

MATH is ranked against every other Capital Markets stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Capital Markets stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Metalpha Technology Holding Limited’s Valuation?

What is Metalpha Technology Holding Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH). The Quality of Company score is 2.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MATH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.82, 1 of 1 active models suggest MATH may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Metalpha Technology Holding Limited's business model in Capital Markets.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.4 mean for MATH?

Metalpha Technology Holding Limited's QOC of 2.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MATH?

CirclFi analyzes MATH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MATH a value trap in 2026?

Metalpha Technology Holding Limited's Value Trap score is 40/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Metalpha Technology Holding Limited (MATH) a Quality of Company score of 2.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MATH/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MATH valuation

Market data for MATH as of ; valuations recomputed .