FTHY (FTHY) Fair Value 2026

FTHY · — ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

— (—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-17, FTHY (FTHY) trades at $13.59, approximately 278% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.59. QOC: 2.0/10. 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FTHY
Price
$13.59
Quality Score
2.0/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +21.9% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is FTHY (FTHY) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, FTHY (FTHY) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $12.88, within 5.3% of the current price of $13.59. Estimates range from $3.59 to $16.56. FTHY scores 2.0/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy FTHY Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.59)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $3.59 -73.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $9.56 -29.6%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
 $16.56 +21.9%

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What Is FTHY (FTHY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on FTHY at its current price of $13.59. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $11.66 (-14.2% average return), with 4 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $16.56 (+21.9%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $3.59 (-73.6%). This +95.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about FTHY's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About FTHY?

7 of 13 models are currently active for FTHY. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FTHY's intrinsic value at $3.59, implying -73.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FTHY Rank in —?

FTHY operates in the — sector. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.0 signals below-average fundamentals.

FTHY operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is FTHY a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for FTHY. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for FTHY. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, FTHY's fundamental quality profile registers 2.0/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +95.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FTHY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FTHY's 7 active models, average confidence is 3%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy FTHY Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar — Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related — stocks with 13-model coverage

PSECProspect Capital CorporationQOC 8.4SCMStellus Capital Investment CorpQOC 7.8FDUSFidus Investment CorporationQOC 7.6HTGCHercules Capital, Inc.QOC 7.6GLADGladstone Capital CorporationQOC 7.4TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC QOC 7.3OXSQOxford Square Capital Corp.QOC 7.2GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.QOC 7.2

Read investment analysis: PSEC · SCM · FDUS · HTGC · GLAD

Frequently Asked Questions About FTHY

What is FTHY's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, FTHY (FTHY) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.59. The Quality of Company score is 2.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FTHY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.59, 2 of 7 active models suggest FTHY may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $12.88, within 5.3% of the current price of $13.59 — a consensus view that FTHY is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits FTHY's business model in —.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.0 mean for FTHY?

FTHY's QOC of 2.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FTHY?

CirclFi analyzes FTHY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FTHY a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for FTHY at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, FTHY (FTHY) has a median fair value of $12.88 — within 5.3% of the current price of $13.59 — as of 2026-07-17.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FTHY/ · Methodology

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