First Advantage Corporation (FA) Fair Value 2026

FA · Specialty Business Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (29/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, First Advantage Corporation (FA) trades at $21.04, versus a $10.25 median fair value across its 9 active models — 51.3% below the current price. QOC: 6.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 29/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $4.33.

Key Facts

Ticker
FA
Price
$21.04
Quality Score
6.9/10
Value Trap Risk
29/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +36.0% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is First Advantage Corporation (FA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, First Advantage Corporation (FA) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $10.25, 51.3% below the current price of $21.04. Estimates range from $1.70 to $45.85. FA scores 6.9/10 on fundamental quality and 29/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. FA’s -51.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Business Services sector median is +1.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy First Advantage Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FA?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($21.04)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.33 -79.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $10.25 -51.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $28.62 +36.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.24 -84.6%
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What Is FA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $1.70 to $45.85

CirclFi's 9 active models place First Advantage Corporation (FA) between $1.70 and $45.85 per share, a spread of 431% of the median. The median of that range — $10.25 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for FA, against a current price of $21.04.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$1.70median $10.25$45.85
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$1.70
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$45.85
Model agreement2 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for FA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on FA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is First Advantage Corporation (FA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, First Advantage Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $10.25, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $21.04. With 7 out of 9 models flagging downside (-51.3% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $45.85 (+117.9%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $1.70 (-91.9%). This +209.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about First Advantage Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About FA?

9 of 13 models are currently active for FA. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for FA is $10.25 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $4.33 on its own, implying -79.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FA Rank in Specialty Business Services?

Among 55 Specialty Business Services stocks, FA ranks #26 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Business Services Stocks →

First Advantage Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is FA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FA a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for First Advantage Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, First Advantage Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 6.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +209.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FA's 9 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy First Advantage Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Business Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Business Services stocks with 13-model coverage

KODKEastman Kodak CompanyQOC 7.0BVBrightView Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.8RTORentokil Initial plcQOC 7.1DLHCDLH Holdings Corp.QOC 6.6AMTMAmentum Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.1ADMQADM Endeavors, Inc.QOC 6.3YYGHYY Group Holding LimitedQOC 5.6TRIThomson Reuters CorporationQOC 2.7CRECre8 Enterprise LimitedQOC 8.0CTASCintas CorporationQOC 9.2RELXRELX PLCQOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: KODK · BV · RTO · DLHC · AMTM · ADMQ · YYGH · TRI · CRE · CTAS · RELX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FA?

7 companies across all industries closest to FA’s Quality of Company score of 6.9/10.

CEPLCapstone Energy+, Inc.QOC 6.9MINDMIND Technology, Inc.QOC 6.9CERSCerus CorporationQOC 6.9PRCHPorch Group, Inc.QOC 6.9LYBLyondellBasell Industries N.V.QOC 6.9ORNOrion Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CEPL · MIND · CERS · PRCH · LYB · ORN · NVDA

Where Does FA Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Business Services Rankings?

FA is ranked against every other Specialty Business Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Business Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About First Advantage Corporation’s Valuation?

What is First Advantage Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts First Advantage Corporation (FA)'s intrinsic value at $10.25 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.70 to $45.85. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $4.33 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $21.04, 2 of 9 active models suggest FA may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $10.25, 51.3% below the current price of $21.04 — a consensus view that FA is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits First Advantage Corporation's business model in Specialty Business Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.9 mean for FA?

First Advantage Corporation's QOC of 6.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FA?

CirclFi analyzes FA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on FA?

Of the 9 models currently active on FA, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $45.85 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $1.70. CirclFi's published fair value for FA is the median of that range, $10.25, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 431% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is FA a value trap in 2026?

First Advantage Corporation's Value Trap score is 29/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, First Advantage Corporation (FA) has a median fair value of $10.25 — 51.3% below the current price of $21.04 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FA valuation
  • Financial statements: First Advantage Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001210677) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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