Yiren Digital Ltd. (YRD) Fair Value 2026

YRD · Finance Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (29/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Yiren Digital Ltd. (YRD) trades at $1.26. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 29/100 (LOW). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
YRD
Price
$1.26
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
29/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: FTNN Topology suggests +409.8% upside with 10% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.26)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
$0.04 -96.7%
PWERM
Medium Conviction
$1.34 +6.5%
FTNN Topology
Low Conviction
$6.42 +409.8%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is Yiren Digital Ltd. (YRD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Yiren Digital Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $2.60, suggesting a +106.5% average upside from the current price of $1.26. While 2 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 1 model flags potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $6.42 (+409.8%), versus ML-RIV at $0.04 (-96.7%). This +506.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About YRD?

3 of 13 models are currently active for YRD. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does YRD Rank in Finance Services?

Among 123 Finance Services stocks, YRD ranks #25 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Finance Services Stocks →

Yiren Digital Ltd. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is YRD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns YRD a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Yiren Digital Ltd.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Yiren Digital Ltd.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +506.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every YRD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across YRD's 3 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Yiren Digital Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Finance Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Finance Services stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: QFIN · XYF · COIN · SII · JFIN

See all Finance Services stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Yiren Digital Ltd.

What is Yiren Digital Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Yiren Digital Ltd. (YRD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is YRD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.26, 2 of 3 active models suggest YRD may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Yiren Digital Ltd.'s business model in Finance Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for YRD?

Yiren Digital Ltd.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on YRD?

CirclFi analyzes YRD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is YRD a value trap in 2026?

Yiren Digital Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 29/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →