What Is Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Empire Petroleum Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $1.19, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $2.55. With 9 out of 10 models flagging downside (-53.5% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $3.11 (+21.9%), versus ML-RIV at $0.14 (-94.6%). This +116.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About EP?
10 of 13 models are currently active for EP. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates EP's intrinsic value at $1.65, implying -35.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does EP Rank in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas?
Among 80 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks, EP ranks #52 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.
See all Most Undervalued Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks →
As a energy producer, Empire Petroleum Corporation operates in a sector where debt-to-EBITDAX is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating EP should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is EP a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EP a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
10 of 13 models are active for Empire Petroleum Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Empire Petroleum Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 6.0/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +116.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every EP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across EP's 10 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad