Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. (DYN) Fair Value 2026

DYN · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. (DYN) trades at $23.64, approximately 206% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $7.73. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DYN
Price
$23.64
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +26.1% upside with 15% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 5.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($23.64)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$7.73 -67.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$10.61 -55.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$10.62 -55.1%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$29.82 +26.1%

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What Is Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. (DYN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $13.31, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $23.64. With 8 out of 10 models flagging downside (-43.7% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +26.1% (fair value: $29.82), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -94.3% ($1.34). The spread between these extremes — +120.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About DYN?

10 of 13 models are currently active for DYN. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DYN's intrinsic value at $7.73, implying -67.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DYN Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 440 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, DYN ranks #219 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

As a healthcare company, Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. operates in a sector where patent cliff exposure is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating DYN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is DYN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DYN a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. is rated at 5.0/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +120.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DYN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DYN's 10 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.

What is Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Dyne Therapeutics, Inc. (DYN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $7.73. The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DYN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $23.64, 2 of 10 active models suggest DYN may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for DYN?

Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.'s QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DYN?

CirclFi analyzes DYN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is DYN a value trap in 2026?

Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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