Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) Fair Value 2026

DJT · Internet Content & Information ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (45/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) trades at $9.63, versus a $0.84 median fair value across its 5 active models — 91.3% below the current price. QOC: 5.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 45/100 (WARN). 5/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $0.83.

Key Facts

Ticker
DJT
Price
$9.63
Quality Score
5.3/10
Value Trap Risk
45/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 45 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $0.84, 91.3% below the current price of $9.63. Estimates range from $0.29 to $2.76. DJT scores 5.3/10 on fundamental quality and 45/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. DJT’s -91.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Internet Content & Information sector median is -13.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give DJT?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($9.63)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.83 -91.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $0.93 -90.3%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 3 additional models including Dynamic NAV, FTNN Topology, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 5 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is DJT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $0.29 to $2.76

CirclFi's 5 active models place Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) between $0.29 and $2.76 per share, a spread of 295% of the median. The median of that range — $0.84 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for DJT, against a current price of $9.63.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$0.29median $0.84$2.76
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$0.29
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$2.76
Model agreement0 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for DJT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on DJT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.84. Trading at its current price of $9.64, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 5 of 5 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -91.3%.

What Do the Models Say About DJT?

5 of 13 models are currently active for DJT. All 5 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for DJT is $0.84 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $0.83 on its own, implying -91.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DJT Rank in Internet Content & Information?

Among 78 Internet Content & Information stocks, DJT ranks #62 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Internet Content & Information Stocks →

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s positioning within the Internet Content & Information segment means that customer acquisition cost (CAC) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including platform stickiness — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is DJT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DJT a score of 45/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. scores 5.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

Models cluster within a tight range (+25.6% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DJT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DJT's 5 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Internet Content & Information Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Internet Content & Information stocks with 13-model coverage

UPXIUpexi, Inc.QOC 5.4WSHPWeShop Holdings LimitedQOC 5.1CRTDCreatd, Inc.QOC 5.4LCFYLocafy LimitedQOC 5.0LVOLiveOne, Inc.QOC 5.5GIFTGiftify, Inc.QOC 4.8BZKanzhun LimitedQOC 9.3MOMOHello Group Inc.QOC 7.7ZHZhihu Inc.QOC 6.5GOOGAlphabet Inc.QOC 9.6METAMeta Platforms, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: UPXI · WSHP · CRTD · LCFY · LVO · GIFT · BZ · MOMO · ZH · GOOG · META

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to DJT?

7 companies across all industries closest to DJT’s Quality of Company score of 5.3/10.

AMCAMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.3NRDEStark Novus Financial Inc.QOC 5.3BCHGGrayscale Bitcoin Cash TrustQOC 5.3ANGHAnghami Inc.QOC 5.3CHKRChesapeake Granite Wash TrustQOC 5.3ATERAterian, Inc.QOC 5.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AMC · NRDE · BCHG · ANGH · CHKR · ATER · NVDA

Where Does DJT Sit in CirclFi's Internet Content & Information Rankings?

DJT is ranked against every other Internet Content & Information stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Internet Content & Information stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)'s intrinsic value at $0.84 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.29 to $2.76. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $0.83 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 5.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DJT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $9.63, 0 of 5 active models suggest DJT may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $0.84, 91.3% below the current price of $9.63 — a consensus view that DJT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s business model in Internet Content & Information.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.3 mean for DJT?

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s QOC of 5.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DJT?

CirclFi analyzes DJT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on DJT?

Of the 5 models currently active on DJT, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $2.76 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $0.29. CirclFi's published fair value for DJT is the median of that range, $0.84, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 295% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is DJT a value trap in 2026?

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.'s Value Trap score is 45/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) has a median fair value of $0.84 — 91.3% below the current price of $9.63 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/DJT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this DJT valuation

Market data for DJT as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 5 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on DJT.

Unlock All 5 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

3 models hidden for DJT Unlock All 5 — $39/mo