Upexi, Inc. (UPXI) Fair Value 2026

UPXI · Finance Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (33/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Upexi, Inc. (UPXI) trades at $0.87, approximately 117% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.40. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 33/100 (LOW). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
UPXI
Price
$0.87
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
33/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +115.5% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Upexi, Inc. (UPXI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Upexi, Inc. (UPXI) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $0.83, within 4.5% of the current price of $0.87. Estimates range from $0.01 to $1.88. UPXI scores 5.4/10 on fundamental quality and 33/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Upexi, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.87)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $0.40 -53.8%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $0.96 +9.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $0.75 -14.2%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
 $1.88 +115.5%

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What Is Upexi, Inc. (UPXI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Upexi, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $0.87. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $0.82 (-5.7% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 5 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $1.88 (+115.5%), versus Regime Cross at $0.01 (-98.9%). This +214.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About UPXI?

10 of 13 models are currently active for UPXI. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates UPXI's intrinsic value at $0.40, implying -53.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does UPXI Rank in Finance Services?

Among 114 Finance Services stocks, UPXI ranks #67 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Finance Services Stocks →

Upexi, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is UPXI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns UPXI a score of 33/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Upexi, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Upexi, Inc. earns a quality score of 5.4/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +214.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every UPXI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across UPXI's 10 active models, average confidence is 20%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Upexi, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Finance Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Finance Services stocks with 13-model coverage

QFINQfin Holdings, Inc.QOC 10.0XYFX FinancialQOC 9.7COINCoinbase Global, Inc.QOC 9.6SIISprott Inc.QOC 9.4JFINJiayin Group Inc.QOC 9.2AXPAmerican Express CompanyQOC 9.2FUFUBitFuFu Inc.QOC 9.0OPFIOppFi Inc.QOC 8.8

Read investment analysis: QFIN · XYF · COIN · SII · JFIN

See all Finance Services stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Upexi, Inc.

What is Upexi, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Upexi, Inc. (UPXI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.40. The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is UPXI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.87, 5 of 10 active models suggest UPXI may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $0.83, within 4.5% of the current price of $0.87 — a consensus view that UPXI is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Upexi, Inc.'s business model in Finance Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for UPXI?

Upexi, Inc.'s QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on UPXI?

CirclFi analyzes UPXI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is UPXI a value trap in 2026?

Upexi, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 33/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Upexi, Inc. (UPXI) has a median fair value of $0.83 — within 4.5% of the current price of $0.87 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/UPXI/ · Methodology

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