CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. (CTMX) Fair Value 2026

CTMX · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (30/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. (CTMX) trades at $3.66, approximately 727% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.44. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 30/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CTMX
Price
$3.66
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
30/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.66)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$0.44 -87.9%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$0.87 -76.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.71 -53.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$3.39 -7.4%

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What Is CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. (CTMX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.89. Trading at its current price of $3.66, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -48.3%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +4.7% (fair value: $3.83), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -87.9% ($0.44). The spread between these extremes — +92.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CTMX?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CTMX. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CTMX's intrinsic value at $0.44, implying -87.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CTMX Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 469 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, CTMX ranks #49 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.'s positioning within the Pharmaceutical Preparations segment means that clinical trial success rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including therapeutic area leadership — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is CTMX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CTMX a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. earns a quality score of 7.5/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +92.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CTMX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CTMX's 12 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AMPH · AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.

What is CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. (CTMX) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.44. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CTMX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.66, 1 of 12 active models suggest CTMX may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for CTMX?

CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CTMX?

CirclFi analyzes CTMX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CTMX a value trap in 2026?

CytomX Therapeutics, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 30/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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